
Profit Insights
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Finance and economic news from yesterday and today
Transcript
Welcome to "Profit Insights," where we dive into the latest financial headlines with a calm and thoughtful approach. I'm Dusty, and today we're exploring the shifting tide in U.S. equity markets amid a backdrop of trade uncertainty.
The markets closed on July 8, 2025, with a bit of a mixed bag. The S&P 500 dipped slightly by 0.07%, closing at 6,225.52, while the Dow lost 165 points, settling at 44,240.76. The Nasdaq, however, showed a tiny uptick of 0.03%. It was a choppy day, with investors seeking clarity on President Trump's next tariff moves and eagerly anticipating the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting minutes.
Sector-wise, we saw some divergence. The energy sector shone brightly, rising 2.72% thanks to stronger oil prices. On the flip side, consumer staples and utilities showed some weakness, both falling over 1%. Interestingly, small-cap stocks bucked the trend, with the Russell 2000 climbing 0.66%.
Take Tesla, for instance, which rebounded by 1.3% after a rough start to the week. Freeport-McMoRan also saw a rise of 2.5%, driven by news of a planned hefty tariff on copper imports. Moderna made waves, soaring 8.8% amid a lawsuit challenging federal policies on COVID-19 vaccines.
Shifting gears to commodities, President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper sent ripples through the market, pushing copper futures up by over 12%. This move significantly impacts industries reliant on copper, such as electric vehicles and electronics.
In the oil world, U.S. crude edged up to $68.33 a barrel, with Brent closing at $70.15. Meanwhile, the bond market saw U.S. 10-year Treasury yields ticking up, showing some unease as buyers held back on three-year notes.
The currency markets painted a picture of a stronger dollar. The yen slipped against the greenback, while the euro reached a one-year high against the yen. The Australian dollar saw a boost after the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep rates steady.
Let’s glance across the pond. European stocks welcomed some relief from tariff fears, with the STOXX 600 reaching a three-week high. In Germany, small-caps thrived, particularly Salzgitter, soaring 20% on product approval for military use.
Meanwhile, Asia displayed resilience. Japan’s Nikkei 225 ticked upwards, and South Korea’s markets showed robust gains. China’s CSI 300 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng also advanced, pushing through the tariff noise.
Trade policy continues to sizzle, with President Trump broadening his tariff campaign. The focus now turns to copper, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that the U.S. could pull in as much as $300 billion in tariff revenue by year's end. Keep an eye on the Fed’s meeting minutes releasing soon; they might just hold clues to future rate cuts.
And let's not forget the corporate world. Samsung Electronics projects a significant dip in profits due to U.S. export controls on AI chips and delays with Nvidia. Hershey has appointed a new CEO—Kirk Tanner from Wendy’s, which sees Ken Cook stepping in as interim leader at Wendy's.
As we look ahead, the U.S. earnings season is on the horizon. Mid-July, we'll start seeing second-quarter results pour in from the S&P 500 companies, with mega-caps likely to set the tone. Europe’s earnings season will kick off with ASML taking the lead.
As always, keep your eyes on the markets, but remember to hold steady amidst the noise. After all, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Thanks for joining me on "Profit Insights." Until next time, stay informed and keep investing wisely.
## U.S. Equity Markets Slip Amid Trade Uncertainty
U.S. stocks ended Tuesday’s session (July 8, 2025) in a muted fashion as investors awaited clarity on President Trump’s next tariff moves and the upcoming second-quarter earnings season. The S&P 500 dipped 0.07% to 6,225.52, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 165.60 points (0.37%) to close at 44,240.76, while the Nasdaq Composite inched up 0.03% to 20,418.46 ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/goldman-sachs-lifts-sp-500-return-forecasts-fed-outlook-large-cap-stocks-2025-07-08/), [reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/)). Trading was choppy, with the benchmarks oscillating around breakeven as traders sought direction from tariff headlines and looked ahead to the Federal Reserve’s June meeting minutes due Wednesday.
Sector performance was bifurcated. The energy sector led gains, rising 2.72%, supported by firmer oil prices, while defensive sectors underperformed—consumer staples and utilities fell over 1% ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/goldman-sachs-lifts-sp-500-return-forecasts-fed-outlook-large-cap-stocks-2025-07-08/)). Small-caps outperformed, with the Russell 2000 up 0.66%, reflecting a preference for domestically oriented stocks amid trade jitters ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/goldman-sachs-lifts-sp-500-return-forecasts-fed-outlook-large-cap-stocks-2025-07-08/)). Among individual names, Tesla rebounded 1.3% after steep losses the previous day; Freeport-McMoRan climbed 2.5% on news of a planned 50% tariff on copper imports; and Moderna soared 8.8% following a lawsuit challenging federal COVID-19 vaccine policies ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/goldman-sachs-lifts-sp-500-return-forecasts-fed-outlook-large-cap-stocks-2025-07-08/)).
## Commodities, Currencies and Rates
The metal markets were roiled by President Trump’s announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper, sending COMEX copper futures up more than 12% to a fresh record high. Copper is integral to electric vehicles, power infrastructure and electronics, prompting a 2.5% rise in Freeport-McMoRan shares ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/)). In energy markets, U.S. crude oil settled at $68.33 a barrel, up 40 cents, while Brent crude rose 57 cents to $70.15 ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/)).
In the bond market, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields climbed about 2.2 basis points to 4.417%, approaching their highest level since June 20, as auction results for three-year notes showed below-average demand ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/)). Currency moves reflected a broadly firmer dollar: the yen slid 0.32% versus the greenback to 146.54, and the euro hit a one-year high against the yen ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/)). The Australian dollar jumped 0.97% after the Reserve Bank of Australia held its cash rate at 3.85% ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/)).
## International Equities: Europe and Asia
European stocks advanced as U.S. tariff uncertainty proved less disruptive than feared. The pan-European STOXX 600 climbed 0.4% to a three-week high, with Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 both up about 0.5% ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/european-shares-flat-investors-assess-new-us-tariff-proposals-2025-07-08/)). German small-caps hit an all-time high, led by a 20% surge in steelmaker Salzgitter after approval for military use of its Secure 500 steel product ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/european-shares-flat-investors-assess-new-us-tariff-proposals-2025-07-08/)). Sector performance in Europe was broad-based: energy shares rose 1.1% on firmer oil, while healthcare names gained 0.8%, buoyed by strength in Novo Nordisk ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/european-shares-flat-investors-assess-new-us-tariff-proposals-2025-07-08/)). Analysts forecast a 0.2% year-on-year decline in European second-quarter corporate profits, marking a sharp downgrade from earlier expectations and underscoring the impact of trade tensions on corporate guidance ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/european-shares-flat-investors-assess-new-us-tariff-proposals-2025-07-08/)).
In Asia, markets showed resilience despite fresh U.S. tariff measures. Japan’s Nikkei 225 added 0.26% and the broader Topix rose 0.17%; South Korea’s Kospi jumped 1.81% while the Kosdaq gained 0.74%; China’s CSI 300 climbed 0.84%; Hong Kong’s Hang Seng advanced 1.09%; and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was flat after the RBA kept rates on hold at 3.85% ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/08/asia-stock-markets-today-live-updates-nikkei-225-asx-200-kospi-hang-seng-csi-300-senxex-nifty-50.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Southeast Asian economies, including Thailand and Indonesia, pressed to negotiate with Washington following letters to 14 countries warning of steep tariffs, seeking to soften the blow before the August 1 deadline ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/southeast-asia-spooked-by-trump-tariffs-presses-more-talks-2025-07-08/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Trade Policy and Fiscal Implications
President Trump broadened his "reciprocal" tariff campaign on Tuesday by announcing a 50% levy on copper and signaling forthcoming tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/global-markets-global-markets-2025-07-08/), [reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-could-collect-300-billion-tariff-revenue-this-year-treasury-chief-says-2025-07-08/)). Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told a White House cabinet meeting that the U.S. has already collected about $100 billion in tariff income this year and could see total collections reach $300 billion by the end of 2025 as new duties kick in on August 1 ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-could-collect-300-billion-tariff-revenue-this-year-treasury-chief-says-2025-07-08/)). Markets are keenly awaiting the Treasury’s June budget results on Friday for further tariff revenue data ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-could-collect-300-billion-tariff-revenue-this-year-treasury-chief-says-2025-07-08/)).
On the monetary front, investors are bracing for the release of the Federal Reserve’s June 17–18 meeting minutes on Wednesday for clues on the timing of possible rate cuts, after recent data and policy signals suggested a more cautious stance by the central bank ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/goldman-sachs-lifts-sp-500-return-forecasts-fed-outlook-large-cap-stocks-2025-07-08/)).
## Corporate Highlights and Earnings Preview
Samsung Electronics projected a 56% plunge in second-quarter operating profit to 4.6 trillion won (versus analysts’ estimate of 6.2 trillion), blaming U.S. export controls on advanced AI chips to China and delays in supplying high-bandwidth memory chips to Nvidia. Revenue is expected to be roughly flat at 74 trillion won; shares fell 0.2% ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/samsung-elec-estimates-56-drop-q2-operating-profit-missing-expectations-2025-07-07/)). Samsung plans to repurchase 3.9 trillion won of its shares as part of a broader buyback program.
In corporate leadership moves, Hershey named Wendy’s CEO Kirk Tanner as its new chief executive effective August 18. Wendy’s CFO Ken Cook was appointed interim CEO at the burger chain, which has seen its stock drop nearly 31% this year amid muted sales and macroeconomic volatility ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/hershey-names-wendys-kirk-tanner-ceo-2025-07-08/)).
Looking ahead, S&P 500 companies begin reporting second-quarter results mid-July, with early readings from mega-caps set to drive sentiment. In Europe, the earnings season commences next week with ASML among the first heavyweights to report ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/european-shares-flat-investors-assess-new-us-tariff-proposals-2025-07-08/)).
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All data and commentary reflect information as of the close on July 8, 2025.
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