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Episode Description
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Episode Transcript
Welcome to Tesla Stock Daily Drive, where we dive into the electric world of Tesla, dissecting its financial gears and market dynamics. I'm Dusty, your guide through the latest twists and turns in Tesla's fascinating journey. Grab your coffee, sit back, and let's get rolling.
Today, we're zooming in on Tesla's financial landscape as of June 15, 2025. If you tuned in last, you'd know that Tesla's stock recently closed at $325.31 on June 13, a solid upward shift of $6.20. It topped off a week with more than 4% in gains, which has warmed the hearts of investors after a mixed year. The beauty of Tesla’s market movement is best reflected in its 50-day simple moving average of $299.39, though it's still dancing a fine line below the 200-day average of $332.88. Despite recent gains, Tesla's stock is currently down about 25% for the year—a reminder that every peak comes with its valleys.
In company news, Tesla is shaking things up a bit. Incremental product updates have been making headlines, with refreshed Model S and Model X vehicles, including price hikes to boost those margins. And mark your calendars, because June 22 is slated as the date when Tesla plans to unveil its highly anticipated robotaxi in Austin, which could redefine their autonomous driving roadmap. CEO Elon Musk has been a bit softer lately on political stances, potentially easing some political risks, particularly those surrounding his public interactions with former President Donald Trump.
However, it’s not all smooth roads. Tesla's Q1 earnings were a bit of a bump, with revenues at $19.34 billion, down 9% year over year, and net profits seeing a sharper 71% drop. Vehicle deliveries also hit a snag, with a 13% decrease. Concerns loom about the dipping car volumes and selling prices, with automotive sales falling by a striking 20% and income from operations down by 66%.
Shifting gears to the broader market factors, geopolitical flames have flickered, rattling investor nerves. Inflation reports initially seemed to ease some concerns and cheer up the market, though last Friday's geopolitical sparks sent global stocks tumbling and oil prices climbing. This backdrop plays into Tesla's narrative. Of particular interest is the bill to remove federal EV tax credits—a move that, if successful, could put a brake on Tesla’s growth, especially since more than 90% of their sales hinge on models that currently benefit from these credits.
Analyst sentiment about Tesla is a mixed bag. As of early June, Tesla’s P/E ratio stands at a towering 198.13x. With a market cap around $1 trillion, some believe Tesla's stock might be a bit too pumped, particularly when earnings are in decline. While the valuation raises eyebrows, some analysts still hold onto a 'Buy' recommendation, betting on Tesla's capability to weather the storm.
Looking to the horizon, all eyes are on key support levels around $265 and $215, with resistance at $365 and $430. The robotaxi reveal and unfolding EV tax credit saga are major road signs worth watching closely.
As we steer towards the end of today's chat, remember that investing is much like navigating—a mix of instinct, knowledge, and a touch of patience. Keep your ears to the ground for those economic shifts and product unveilings that steer the Tesla narrative.
Thanks for tuning into Tesla Stock Daily Drive, where we map out the terrain of Tesla’s marketscape. Until next time, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Safe driving, everyone!
Supporting Data
**Stock Performance:**
As of Friday, June 13, 2025 (the last trading day before June 15), Tesla's stock (TSLA) closed at $325.31, an increase of $6.20 during that day's trading. The trading volume was 128,417,075 shares. This capped a week where Tesla's stock rose over 4%. The stock's 50-day simple moving average was $299.39, and its 200-day simple moving average was $332.88. Tesla has a 12-month low of $177.00 and a high of $488.54. Year-to-date as of June 10, 2025, the stock was down approximately 25%.
**Company News and Developments:**
Investor optimism was reportedly supported by incremental product news. Tesla refreshed its Model S and Model X vehicles with several upgrades and a $5,000 price increase, aiming to boost margins. CEO Elon Musk announced a tentative June 22 launch date for Tesla's robotaxi reveal in Austin, which fueled interest in the company's autonomous driving roadmap. Musk's recent public softening toward former President Donald Trump was also noted as potentially easing political risk concerns for the company.
However, Tesla is facing challenges. The company reported weaker financial results for Q1 2025, with total revenue at $19.34 billion (a 9% year-over-year decrease) and net profit at $409 million (a 71% year-over-year drop). Vehicle deliveries in Q1 2025 also declined by 13% year-over-year to 336,680 units. Concerns persist about declining car volumes and falling selling prices, which led to a 20% drop in automotive sales and a 66% decrease in total income from operations year-over-year in the last quarter.
**Market Factors and Economic Indicators:**
Broader market sentiment was influenced by geopolitical events and economic data. Cooler-than-expected consumer and producer inflation reports initially lifted investor spirits and Fed cut expectations. However, on Friday, global stocks fell and oil prices surged due to an escalation of geopolitical tensions.
A significant point of discussion is the potential impact of changes to federal EV tax credits. A recent bill backed by former President Donald Trump proposes eliminating these credits, which range from $4,000 to $7,500 for qualified vehicles. With over 90% of Tesla's sales coming from the Model 3 and Model Y, both of which qualify for these credits, their elimination could significantly dampen sales growth. Furthermore, Tesla's Q1 2025 net profit of $409 million was partially realized by $595 million in automotive regulatory credits. The loss of these credits could put Tesla in a more precarious financial position.
**Analyst Sentiment and Valuation:**
As of June 10, 2025, Tesla's P/E (TTM) was approximately 198.13x. Some analysts view Tesla's stock as overvalued, with a current market cap of roughly $1 trillion and a P/E ratio of 178, especially as earnings are currently declining. While some analysts maintain a 'Buy' recommendation, the high valuation and recent financial performance present notable risks.
**Looking Ahead:**
Investors are closely watching key technical support levels for Tesla's stock around $265 and $215, and resistance levels near $365 and $430. The upcoming robotaxi launch and developments regarding EV tax credits are expected to be significant factors influencing Tesla's future performance.
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