Tesla Stock Daily Drive

June 29, 2025 • Finance

Hosted by Dusty

About This Episode

Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.

Transcript

Welcome to Big Dill Sports, where we break down the biggest stories in the world of sports and entertainment. I'm your host, Dillon. Today, we’re diving into the fast-paced world of Tesla and what makes it such a fascinating player in the stock market game. Buckle up, because we’ve got quite the ride ahead!

Let’s kick things off with Tesla’s recent stock performance. On June 27th, Tesla closed at $323.63, a slight drop of 0.66% from its previous price. Now, you might be thinking, what’s the story behind this number? Well, the stock opened at $324.51 and moved within a range of $317.49 to $329.34, with an impressive volume of 89.07 million shares traded. That’s quite a bit above Tesla's 30-day average.

So, what’s driving these fluctuations? It’s been a rollercoaster week for Tesla, sparked by the exciting launch of their robotaxi service in Austin, Texas. They saw an 8.23% surge after this big news. CEO Elon Musk is already setting expectations for a wider rollout by the end of the year, which has everyone talking.

But it’s not all clear skies. There's been some turbulence from Europe, where Tesla’s registrations dropped 41% year-over-year. This decline raises eyebrows about demand and competition, especially when you've got the likes of Xiaomi entering the game and undercutting prices in key Asian markets. Plus, the departure of Tesla's head of sales and manufacturing, Omead Afshar, adds another twist to the tale.

Looking ahead, the market is buzzing with anticipation for Tesla’s Q2 vehicle delivery report. Analysts expect deliveries to be just under 400,000 units. A bit of a dip compared to last year, hinting at potential buyer hesitation as everyone waits for Tesla’s new, lower-priced models. It’s a pivotal moment, as production is expected to rise slightly to over 434,000 vehicles.

Now, how are the analysts feeling? Opinions are mixed. Some, like Mickey Legg from Benchmark, are optimistic, raising price targets and citing the robotaxi service as a major growth driver. Others remain cautious, pointing out execution risks but highlighting Tesla’s long-term potential in AI and robotics.

Digging deeper into performance trends, Tesla has had a bumpy year, with a 20% decline up to now but a recent rebound of 24% thanks to excitement around its autonomous vehicle plans. Tesla’s stock is a high-beta asset, meaning it’s quite sensitive to market movements. It's a bit of a bellwether, mirroring the broader investor sentiment around growth and volatility.

As we look towards the future, a few key areas will be crucial. First, we’ll need to watch how Q2 deliveries unfold, especially in Europe. Any news on production updates, particularly with potential pauses at the Austin Gigafactory, will be important. Progress in regulatory approvals for full self-driving capabilities will also be a game-changer.

Alright, folks, before we wrap up, it’s time for my favorite segment: our player spotlight. Today’s “big dill” is Tesla’s ambitious push into the robotaxi domain. This move isn’t just a big deal—it’s a potential game-changer in the transportation industry. As Tesla navigates these innovations and challenges, it’s clear they’re playing a long game that could redefine mobility.

Thanks for joining me on Big Dill Sports. Remember, in the world of stocks and sports, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Keep your eyes on the game, and until next time, stay curious!

## June 27, 2025 Trading Summary
On Friday, June 27, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at $323.63, down 0.66% from its prior close of $325.78. The stock opened at $324.51, traded in a range between $317.49 and $329.34, and saw total volume of 89.07 million shares—well above its 30-day average of approximately 80 million shares. This modest decline capped a volatile week for Tesla shares, which saw an 8.23% surge on June 23 following the Austin robo-taxi launch and subsequent pullbacks amid mixed market signals ([ng.investing.com](https://ng.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

## Key Catalysts from the Week
Investors have grappled with a blend of optimistic and cautionary signals surrounding Tesla’s core business and new initiatives. On the bullish side, Tesla’s limited launch of its robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, on June 22 prompted an 8% jump in shares the following trading day, as CEO Elon Musk touted early success and set expectations for broader U.S. deployment by year-end ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-robotaxi-sales-1fc0a588?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Conversely, concerns over slowing demand in Europe have weighed heavily: registrations of Tesla’s battery-electric vehicles in the EU, UK, Norway, and Switzerland plunged 41% year-over-year in May, the fifth consecutive monthly decline, underscoring intensifying competition and mixed consumer sentiment amid Musk’s political controversies ([altindex.com](https://altindex.com/ticker/tsla?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

Another fresh headwind emerged on Thursday when The Wall Street Journal reported the departure of Omead Afshar, Tesla’s head of sales and manufacturing for North America and Europe, raising questions about leadership stability as the company navigates regional demand challenges ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-robotaxi-sales-1fc0a588?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Furthermore, Chinese entrant Xiaomi’s undercutting of the Model Y price in key Asian markets has spotlighted Tesla’s vulnerability to more affordable EV offerings ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-robotaxi-sales-1fc0a588?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

## Q2 Deliveries Outlook
All eyes are now on Tesla’s Q2 vehicle delivery report, expected Wednesday morning. Visible Alpha consensus projects deliveries just under 400,000 units, down approximately 10% year-over-year from Q2 2024, when Tesla reported over 440,000 deliveries ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/tesla-is-set-to-report-deliveries-wednesday-here-is-what-to-expect-11762410?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). RBC Capital Markets analysts peg second-quarter deliveries at roughly 366,000 units, suggesting some deferral of purchases as buyers await Tesla’s anticipated lower-priced model launch ([marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/teslas-sales-numbers-are-around-the-corner-does-it-look-good-for-the-ev-maker-852ace0e?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Should deliveries indeed hit a multi-quarter low, it would mark a critical juncture in Tesla’s demand cycle, even as production is forecast to rise modestly to about 434,200 vehicles ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/tesla-is-set-to-report-deliveries-wednesday-here-is-what-to-expect-11762410?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

## Analyst Sentiment
Analyst sentiment remains polarized. Benchmark’s Mickey Legg, one of the most bullish on Wall Street, raised his 12-month price target to $475 (from $350), citing the robotaxi service as a pivotal growth driver and underscoring Tesla’s transition toward AI and robotics revenues ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-robotaxi-sales-1fc0a588?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Meanwhile, Visible Alpha-tracked analysts display a mixed consensus: about 10 “buy” ratings, 4 “hold,” and 4 “sell,” with price targets ranging from $160 to $500, reflecting divergent views on Tesla’s near-term execution risks and long-term innovation promise ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/tesla-is-set-to-report-deliveries-wednesday-here-is-what-to-expect-11762410?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

## Stock Performance Context and Trends
Year-to-date through June 27, TSLA has declined roughly 20%, underperforming the S&P 500’s 4% gain and the Nasdaq’s tech rally ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/tesla-is-set-to-report-deliveries-wednesday-here-is-what-to-expect-11762410?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Over the past three months, however, Tesla shares have rebounded about 24%, driven largely by optimism around its autonomous vehicle roadmap ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-robotaxi-sales-1fc0a588?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The stock’s high beta (~2.3) continues to amplify moves in both directions, making TSLA a bellwether for investor appetite in growth and head-line-driven volatility.

## Looking Ahead
Beyond the imminent Q2 delivery figures, Tesla investors will monitor several key developments:
- The first comprehensive regional breakdown of Q2 deliveries, which could validate or refute concerns of softening demand in Europe.
- June 30 production and capacity updates, especially any commentary on the planned temporary pause at the Austin Gigafactory for line maintenance.
- Progress on FSD and robotaxi regulatory approvals, particularly in California and Texas, which will signal the scalability of Tesla’s mobility-as-a-service ambitions.
- Mid-July Q2 earnings guidance, where margins, energy-business contributions, and capital-expenditure plans for AI and robotics will come into sharper focus.

As Tesla navigates this complex backdrop of new product launches, regional demand disparities, and leadership changes, its stock performance on June 27 epitomized the balancing act between near-term delivery metrics and the long-term vision of an AI-driven transportation and robotics powerhouse.

Tesla Stock Daily Drive