
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
[Intro]
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," where we navigate the fast lane of Tesla's market journey. I'm your host, Dusty, here to cruise through the latest numbers and narratives guiding Tesla's path. So, buckle up and join me as we dive into today's market insights.
[Market Overview]
Let's kick things off with a peek at Tesla's performance this past Friday, June 27, 2025. The stock opened at $324.51, climbed to a high of $329.34, and dipped as low as $317.50 before closing at $323.63. This marked a slight 0.66% dip from Wednesday, reflecting a bit of a cooldown as we headed into the holiday weekend. Trading volume hit around 89 million, slightly below the usual, which hints at some cautious investors holding back.
[Key Financial Stories]
Now, onto the driving forces behind Friday's movements. Reports emerged from Western Europe about Tesla's sales facing some headwinds, marking a fifth straight month of declines, particularly in Britain, Germany, and Italy. The rise of more affordable Chinese EV competitors is putting some pressure on Tesla in these markets. This has investors on edge as they eagerly await the Q2 delivery figures, expected next week, to see if Tesla can beat last year’s record of 444,000 vehicles.
On a brighter note, Tesla’s Robotaxi initiative in Austin is sparking optimism. The controlled rollout garnered praise, prompting Benchmark Capital to reiterate its “Buy” rating, even bumping up the price target to $475. Although some near-term challenges remain, the long-term outlook seems promising with these autonomous moves.
[Fundamental Context]
It hasn’t all been smooth sailing for Tesla this year. Since late February, the stock has faced pressure from a less-than-expected performance of its automated feature in China, causing a temporary dip in market cap. First-quarter earnings also fell short of expectations with revenue just shy of $19.34 billion, compared to a hoped-for $21.11 billion. That dip was mainly due to a 20% drop in automotive revenue, leaving investors a bit wary.
[Investment Tips]
From a technical standpoint, Tesla’s stock appears to be navigating choppy waters. It’s sitting below key long-term moving averages, but there's a sign of stabilization in the short term. The Relative Strength Index is creeping toward oversold territory, while the MACD still points to downward momentum. If Tesla manages to push past the 5-day moving average with some energy, we might see a short-term rebound. However, breaking through the 50-day resistance would require more robust positive news.
Looking ahead, keep an eye on Tesla's Q2 delivery report next week. Projections are floating between 370,000 to 390,000 deliveries, below last year's highs. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting also adds a layer of intrigue, as shifts in interest rates could have broader market impacts. Plus, any updates on the Austin Robotaxi pilot's progress could sway sentiment on Tesla's future in autonomy.
[Ending]
As we wrap up today's drive through Tesla's stock landscape, remember that the road ahead is filled with opportunities and challenges. Keep your focus sharp and eyes on the horizon. Thanks for tuning in to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I’m Dusty, reminding you: When the dust settles, only the truth remains. Safe travels, and we’ll catch you in the next episode.
## Market Summary for Friday, June 27, 2025
On Friday, June 27, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) opened at $324.51, traded as high as $329.34 and as low as $317.50, before closing at $323.63. This represented a 0.66% decline from Wednesday’s close of $325.78. Trading volume totaled approximately 89.07 million shares, modestly below its recent 30-day average of roughly 110 million shares, underscoring slightly muted participation ahead of the holiday weekend ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-average-stock-closing-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-average-stock-closing-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Compared with the prior session (Thursday, June 26), when Tesla closed at $325.78 after trading between $323.61 and $331.05 on a volume of 80.44 million, the stock’s intraday volatility on Friday reflected profit-taking following a mid-week rally driven by its Robotaxi rollout ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-average-stock-closing-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-average-stock-closing-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Key Drivers of Friday’s Move
Tesla shares came under pressure after Reuters reported that the company’s Western European sales declined for the fifth consecutive month in May, with deliveries in Britain, Germany and Italy down sharply year-over-year amid intensifying competition from lower-priced Chinese EV rivals ([tradingview.com](https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com%2C2025%3Anewsml_L2N3S70LP%3A0-tesla-shares-fall-following-report-of-sales-decline-in-europe/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [tradingview.com](https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com%2C2025%3Anewsml_L2N3S70LP%3A0-tesla-shares-fall-following-report-of-sales-decline-in-europe/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The report noted that investors are growing cautious ahead of Tesla’s upcoming Q2 delivery figures, due next week, which many expect to fall below 2024’s second-quarter record of 444,000 vehicles ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-analyst-robo-taxi-sales-1393027f?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-analyst-robo-taxi-sales-1393027f?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Conversely, bullish sentiment remains around Tesla’s nascent Robotaxi business, which launched its limited pilot in Austin, Texas on June 22. Benchmark Capital this week reiterated its “Buy” rating on TSLA and raised its 12-month price target from $350 to $475, citing the “controlled and safety-first approach” of the Robotaxi rollout as a catalyst for long-term growth—even if near-term deliveries disappoint ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-stock-surges-on-wednesday-but-theres-still-more-room-to-go/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-stock-surges-on-wednesday-but-theres-still-more-room-to-go/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Fundamental Context
Tesla’s stock has been under pressure since late February, when the shares fell more than 8% after a report that its partially automated “Navigate on City Streets” feature in China underperformed expectations. That slide briefly pushed Tesla’s market capitalization below $1 trillion, its lowest level since mid-November 2024 ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/25/teslas-market-cap-sinks-below-1-trillion-as-stock-falls-more-than-9percent.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/25/teslas-market-cap-sinks-below-1-trillion-as-stock-falls-more-than-9percent.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Adding to investor caution, Tesla’s first-quarter 2025 earnings, reported on April 22, missed both top and bottom-line consensus. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.27 versus the $0.39 FactSet estimate, while revenue was $19.34 billion against an expected $21.11 billion—driven largely by a 20% year-over-year drop in automotive revenue to $14 billion ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/22/tesla-tsla-earnings-report-q1-2025.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/22/tesla-tsla-earnings-report-q1-2025.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Year-to-date through June 27, TSLA has declined roughly 17% amid mounting delivery concerns and heightened competition in key markets ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-average-stock-closing-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-average-stock-closing-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Tesla’s shares remain below key longer-term moving averages, even as short-term indicators show oversold conditions. As of Friday’s close, the 50-day simple moving average stood at $330.68, with the 200-day at $333.42—both levels currently acting as resistance. The 5-day MA sits at $323.06, just below Friday’s close of $323.63, signaling near-term stabilization ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-technical?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-technical?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Technical indicators paint a mixed picture: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 42, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) sits in negative territory at –2.31, indicating downward momentum ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-technical?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-technical?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). A break above the 5-day MA with sustained volume could signal a short-term rebound, though resistance at the 50-day MA may cap gains without more positive catalysts.
## Weekend Closure and Upcoming Catalysts
U.S. equity markets were closed on Saturday, June 28 and Sunday, June 29 for the weekend, making Monday, June 30 the next trading session. Investors will be monitoring several key catalysts:
- **Q2 Delivery Report**: Tesla is scheduled to release its second-quarter delivery figures next week. Analysts at Baird and Wedbush have projected deliveries in the 370,000–390,000 range, below 2024’s record quarter of 444,000 vehicles ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-analyst-robo-taxi-sales-1393027f?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-analyst-robo-taxi-sales-1393027f?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
- **Federal Reserve Outlook**: With the Fed’s July meeting just days away, any shift in interest-rate projections or hawkish commentary could influence high-beta names like Tesla.
- **Robotaxi Pilot Expansion**: Updates on the Austin Robotaxi pilot’s safety record and consumer feedback may sway investor sentiment on Tesla’s autonomous ambitions.
Investors should also watch for updates on Tesla’s cost-cutting measures and gross-margin trends in the automotive business, as well as potential pricing adjustments in China in response to local competition. The balance of delivery performance and autonomous progress will likely dictate Tesla’s direction in the coming weeks.
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