
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I’m your host, Dusty, and today we're diving into the ups and downs of Tesla's stock performance on July 1, 2025. So settle in as we unravel what’s been happening in the world of Tesla.
Today, Tesla closed at $300.71, dropping by 5.34% from the previous session. Quite the dip given the intraday swings between a low of $293.21 and a high of $305.87. Such volatility isn't unusual, but it certainly paints a dramatic picture. The volume of shares traded surged to about 143 million, a significant spike from the usual daily averages. That’s a lot of money changing hands — roughly $43.06 billion.
Let's talk about the technical signals. Tesla’s stock had quite a volatile day, with a sharp 4.32% range between its high and low. Over the last ten trading days, it’s lost ground in seven sessions, down 8.63%. Breaking below a rising trend, analysts are keeping a sharp eye on key support levels at around $284.70 and $272.20. Resistance, meanwhile, may hover around today’s high of $305.87. Clearly, the market is sending mixed signals.
The day started with some drama, too. Premarket trading was pressured by a fresh feud between Elon Musk and former President Donald Trump. Trump suggested a review of the subsidies that benefit Musk’s companies, implying that without them, Tesla might struggle. This sparked a drop in shares right before the market opened, shaving off billions in value.
As the day progressed, more concerns unfolded over Tesla’s upcoming Q2 delivery report. Analysts have been reducing their expectations for vehicle deliveries, citing slower demand in Europe and stiff competition in China. This cautious outlook fed into the afternoon’s sell-off, further spooking investors.
Political tensions added another layer of complexity. The spat between Musk and Trump reignited fears about the EV tax credits. Legislation in the Senate could potentially eliminate a $7,500 federal EV tax credit, posing significant risks for Tesla’s U.S. sales. This possibility could impact more than $1 billion in annual profits, increasing market jitters.
Year-to-date, Tesla's shares are down approximately 19.9%, trading substantially below their 52-week high. Yes, the stock’s recent pullback is significant, but not out of character for Tesla, which is known for its wild rides. Intriguingly, despite these fluctuations, some analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Benchmark reiterated a Buy rating, emphasizing long-term growth potential. Yet, with the average price target hovering around current levels, it’s a delicate balance.
Looking ahead, Tesla’s Q2 delivery report will be a crucial moment. Can refreshed Model Y production counterbalance softer demand? Legislative changes or more political drama could trigger further volatility. Market participants are advised to watch those support levels and consider Tesla’s ability to navigate the competitive landscape.
And that wraps up today’s insight into Tesla’s rollercoaster day. As always, I'm Dusty, reminding you, “When the dust settles, only the truth remains.” Join me next time for more on Tesla’s journey. Until then, take care!
## Overview of Tesla’s July 1, 2025 Stock Performance
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at $300.71 on July 1, 2025, down 5.34% from the prior session’s closing price of $317.66. Intraday, the stock traded between a low of $293.21 and a high of $305.87, reflecting heightened volatility during the session. Volume surged to approximately 143 million shares, markedly above its recent daily averages, with an estimated $43.06 billion changing hands in total value traded ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/a-very-red-day-for-tesla-stock-price-after-a-534-fall-in-the-tuesday-trading-session-2025-07-01?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-historical-prices?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Intraday Volatility and Technical Signals
On July 1, TSLA exhibited a 4.32% range between its session high and low, illustrating the sharp swings investors navigated. Over the past 10 trading days, the stock has lost ground in 7 sessions, slipping 8.63% during that period. Technical analysis indicates that Tesla has broken below a strong short-term rising trend, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Key support levels identified via volume-profile analysis lie at $284.70 and $282.76; a breach below these could open the path toward $272.20. Conversely, near-term resistance may form at today’s high of $305.87 ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/a-very-red-day-for-tesla-stock-price-after-a-534-fall-in-the-tuesday-trading-session-2025-07-01?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/article/stockstory-2025-7-1-why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Premarket Pressure from Trump-Musk Feud
Tesla opened Tuesday under pressure, with premarket trading showing a drop of as much as 6% following remarks by former President Donald Trump. On Truth Social, Trump suggested that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which Musk briefly led, should review subsidies benefiting Musk’s companies, warning that “without subsidies, Elon would probably have to close up shop.” Shares dipped to approximately $301.35 in early trading, erasing billions in market value before the bell ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/30/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/tesla-shares-slide-as-trumpmusk-feud-reignites-over-ev-subsidies-4118628?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Afternoon Session: Delivery Estimate Concerns
The afternoon sell-off accelerated amid growing investor caution ahead of Tesla’s Q2 delivery report. Wall Street analysts have pared back expectations for second-quarter vehicle deliveries, with consensus estimates falling from around 440,000 units last year to a range between 355,000 and just under 400,000 vehicles. The projected year-over-year shortfall was attributed to slowing demand in Europe and intensifying competition in China ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-1-why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [finviz.com](https://finviz.com/news/93479/why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Political Tensions and EV Tax Credit Risks
Heightening the unease, a public spat between Elon Musk and Donald Trump reignited concerns over the stability of U.S. EV incentives. The new tax and spending bill under Senate consideration includes provisions that could eliminate or reduce the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, posing a sizable headwind for Tesla’s U.S. sales. Market participants fear that curtailing these credits may shave more than $1 billion in annual profit, amplifying the negative sentiment around the stock ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-1-why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [finviz.com](https://finviz.com/news/93479/why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Year-to-Date Performance and Volatility Context
At Tuesday’s close of $300.71, Tesla shares are down roughly 19.9% year-to-date, trading 36.7% below their 52-week high of $479.86 set in December 2024. Over the past year, TSLA has experienced 132 trading days with moves exceeding ±2.5%, underscoring its elevated volatility relative to the broader market. Against this backdrop, the recent pullback is notable but not unprecedented in Tesla’s trading history ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-1-why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/article/stockstory-2025-7-1-why-tesla-tsla-shares-are-trading-lower-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Analyst Sentiment and Forward Guidance
Despite Tuesday’s decline, some analysts maintain a cautious optimism. On June 26, Benchmark reiterated a Buy rating for TSLA, citing confidence in long-term growth drivers even as they held the stock. However, with the average price target among 54 covering analysts at $300, marginally below current levels, Tesla is in a precarious position should negative catalysts persist. Historically, Tesla has signaled that it will revisit its 2025 guidance in its upcoming Q2 update, scheduled alongside delivery figures ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/a-very-red-day-for-tesla-stock-price-after-a-534-fall-in-the-tuesday-trading-session-2025-07-01?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/22/tesla-tsla-earnings-report-q1-2025.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Outlook and Key Upcoming Catalysts
Looking ahead, Tesla’s Q2 delivery report—expected in the first week of July—remains the pivotal catalyst for near-term direction. Investors will closely watch whether refreshed Model Y production ramps can offset softer demand, particularly in Europe and China. Concurrently, any legislative developments on EV tax credits or further political rhetoric from high-profile figures like Trump could introduce additional volatility. Given the technical breakdown and elevated uncertainty, market participants are advised to monitor support levels around $284 and $272, while also considering the company’s ability to execute its electric vehicle roadmap in the face of intensifying competition ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/a-very-red-day-for-tesla-stock-price-after-a-534-fall-in-the-tuesday-trading-session-2025-07-01?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [tradingview.com](https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com%2C2025%3Anewsml_L2N3S70LP%3A0-tesla-shares-fall-following-report-of-sales-decline-in-europe/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
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