
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm Dusty, here to guide you through today's market landscape with a calm and thoughtful touch. Let's dive into the heart of the stock world and uncover the stories shaping our investment view.
Today, we're zooming in on Tesla's impressive performance—it’s one of those days where the numbers really speak. Tesla's stock closed at $315.65, climbing a solid 4.97% from the previous day's $300.71. It's a sharp rebound, especially after the declines we saw in late June. Let's break down the day for you.
Tesla opened at $312.63, hitting a high of $316.83 and a low of $303.82 throughout the day, with 119.3 million shares traded. Although the volume was 18% lower than the previous session, the price momentum was notably strong, suggesting investors found renewed confidence.
A key catalyst today was Tesla's second-quarter production and delivery numbers. They delivered 384,122 vehicles, slightly edging out Wall Street's expectations. Although it's a year-over-year decline, it was enough of a surprise to give the stock a lift. Production stood at 410,244 vehicles, indicating that Tesla's manufacturing capabilities remain robust.
Tesla also made strides in its energy division, deploying 9.6 gigawatt-hours of storage solutions—one of its strongest quarters to date for the Megapack and Powerwall.
In premarket trading, Tesla ticked up by 0.6% as investors anticipated the delivery report. This unfolded against a mixed backdrop, with Nasdaq futures rising slightly, the S&P 500 staying flat, and a modest uptick in the Dow Jones. The broader market sentiment helped support Tesla's upward move.
Analyst outlooks before the delivery report had taken a cautious turn, trimming EPS estimates due to margin pressures and competitive pricing. Weakening demand in Europe and China posed additional challenges, driven in part by geopolitical tensions. However, the delivery results sparked a relief rally, as the market had feared a larger miss.
Looking back, Tesla’s recent stock decline was influenced by Elon Musk's public disputes over EV incentives and concerns of market saturation. The broader tech-sector weakness also played a part, amid fears of economic slowdowns and persistent high interest rates.
From a technical viewpoint, closing at $315.65, Tesla regained strength above its 50-day moving average, reinforcing a short-term support around $300. The Relative Strength Index was nearing 65, suggesting bullish momentum but leaving room for further upside—particularly as we approach Q3 guidance and the July 23 earnings call.
In summary, Tesla's rally today was driven by a narrow beat on deliveries and a favorable market context. While underlying demand challenges remain, we saw just how sensitive Tesla's stock is to surpassing expectations. As we look ahead to their earnings release, investors will focus on insights into pricing, cost trends, and new product rollouts to sustain this momentum.
That's all for today's "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." Thank you for joining me, Dusty. Remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Until next time, stay informed and keep your investment decisions clear and grounded.
## Key Price Performance on July 2, 2025
Tesla shares (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at \$315.65 on July 2, 2025, up \$14.94, or 4.97%, from the prior day’s close of \$300.71 — marking a sharp rebound following a string of declines in late June 2025 ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/quote/historical?Symbol=NQ%3ATSLA), [markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-2-tesla-tsla-stock-trades-up-here-is-why?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Intraday Trading Range and Volume
– Open: \$312.63
– High: \$316.83
– Low: \$303.82
– Close: \$315.65
– Volume: 119,335,080 shares traded
The intraday low of \$303.82 represented a 3.8% pullback from the open, while the high of \$316.83 marked an intraday peak roughly 1.3% above the opening price ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/quote/historical?Symbol=NQ%3ATSLA)). Trading volume at 119.3 million shares was about 18% below the July 1 volume of 144.99 million shares, suggesting that while price momentum was strong, participation was somewhat muted compared to the prior session ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/quote/historical?Symbol=NQ%3ATSLA)).
## Catalysts: Q2 Production and Delivery Report
On July 2 before the market open, Tesla released its second-quarter production and delivery figures, reporting 384,122 vehicle deliveries—a 13.5% year-over-year decline but marginally better than Wall Street’s forecasted range of 385,000 to 387,000 units ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-2-tesla-tsla-stock-trades-up-here-is-why?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-stock-spikes-over-20-on-strong-margins-and-2025-guidance/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Production reached 410,244 vehicles, underscoring the company’s continued manufacturing capacity despite softening demand ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-stock-spikes-over-20-on-strong-margins-and-2025-guidance/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). In its energy division, Tesla deployed 9.6 GWh of storage solutions, reflecting one of its strongest quarters for the Megapack and Powerwall businesses ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-stock-spikes-over-20-on-strong-margins-and-2025-guidance/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Premarket Reaction and Broader Market Sentiment
Tesla stock ticked up 0.6% in premarket trading on July 2, as investors positioned ahead of the delivery report ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-jobs-data-tesla-tsla/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). U.S. stock futures were mixed—Nasdaq futures rose 0.1%, the S&P 500 was flat, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.2%—as traders awaited the ADP jobs report and more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-july-02-2025-11765125?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The modestly positive macro backdrop provided additional support to equity markets, amplifying Tesla’s positive reaction to its delivery beat.
## Analyst Outlook and Revisions
Wall Street’s consensus before the release had trimmed 2025 EPS estimates for Tesla from \$0.52 in Q2 2024 to about \$0.44 in Q2 2025, reflecting margin pressure from rising input costs and competitive discounts in key markets ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-deliveries-sales-musk-99a554a7?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Some analysts have also highlighted weakening demand in Europe (down 37% April–May) and China (over 10% decline) as notable headwinds, attributing part of the slump to geopolitical tensions and shifts in buyer sentiment ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-deliveries-sales-musk-99a554a7?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Despite these concerns, the slight delivery upside spurred a relief rally, as investors had braced for a larger miss.
## Background Context
Tesla stock had fallen over 5% in the prior six trading sessions, driven by CEO Elon Musk’s public disputes with policymakers over EV incentives and growing concerns about saturation in major markets ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-jobs-data-tesla-tsla/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The stock’s recent volatility was further exacerbated by broader tech-stock weakness amid fears of an economic slowdown and higher-for-longer interest rates. Tesla remains the largest auto company by market capitalization, trading around 40× forward earnings as of July 2, underscoring high investor expectations for growth and innovation.
## Technical Considerations
From a technical perspective, July 2’s close at \$315.65 moved TSLA back above its 50-day moving average (roughly \$310) and reinforced a short-term support level around \$300 ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/quote/historical?Symbol=NQ%3ATSLA)). The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbed toward 65, indicating growing bullish momentum but still below overbought territory, suggesting potential for further upside if upcoming Q3 delivery guidance and the July 23 earnings call yield positive surprises.
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In summary, Tesla’s stock on July 2, 2025, exhibited a pronounced rally driven by a narrowly beaten Q2 delivery outlook and a supportive macro environment. While underlying demand challenges persist, the market’s relief reaction underscores the sensitivity of TSLA shares to delivery beats (or misses) and analysts’ forward guidance. As Tesla approaches its Q2 earnings release later in July, investors will be keenly watching for commentary on pricing power, cost trends, and new product ramps to sustain the stock’s momentum.
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