
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive" with your host, Dusty. Today, we’re diving into the latest happenings around Tesla and the wider market as the dust settles after the July 4th holiday break.
Let's start by painting the backdrop. On July 4, 2025, the U.S. financial markets, including the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange, took a well-deserved breather in observance of Independence Day. But before leaving the trading floors, there was an early close on July 3, wrapping up at 1:00 p.m. ET. This break gave traders a chance to regroup, but of course, it also meant no trading activities for Tesla, leaving its last mark at $315.05, a slight drop from the previous day.
Speaking of Tesla, its final session before the holiday closed with numbers that kept some investors on edge. Starting at $316.78, shares dipped slightly but maintained a balance between $312 and just over $319. Trading volume was also notably lower, which is common during such periods, as many traders choose to sit it out.
Let’s rewind to July 2, when Tesla shared its Q2 vehicle delivery figures. They managed to deliver just over 384,000 units. While this was a 13.5% decline year-over-year, it was still a touch better than Wall Street's expectations, prompting a brief relief rally. For a time, shares jumped 4.4%, hitting $313.39, before easing back. However, as July 3 approached, that optimism waned with a general market consolidation ahead of the holiday weekend.
Now, let’s plug into the options and derivatives scene. Even with the holiday on the horizon, option traders were busy on July 3. Notably, there was significant activity in the July 320 puts, revealing a cautious sentiment amid a bearish tilt. Such movement often hints at market participants hedging or speculating on possible downturns.
Looking at broader patterns, holiday-related trading tends to shrink the liquidity pool, and July 3 was no exception. Volume was cut to nearly half compared to July 2, indicating a cautious stance. This reduced trading window can exaggerate price movements due to the thin order books.
Zooming out, Tesla faces a complicated landscape. While production numbers look decent, challenges from cheaper Chinese competitors and European market dynamics loom large. Additionally, there's continuous chatter about Elon Musk's ventures into robotaxis and Full Self-Driving technologies, which always draw attention—and not just from investors.
So, where do we steer from here? With markets reopening, eyes are set on July 7 for early indications. The big date though? July 23, when Tesla's Q2 earnings report drops. It’s during these earnings calls that we usually get a glimpse into upcoming strategies, guidance, and more insights that could sway Tesla's stock movement significantly.
Before I sign off today, remember to keep a close watch on pre-market and extended hours movements as these can be telling of the direction Tesla might take next.
Thanks for spending time with me today on "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." Remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Until next time, stay savvy and keep your portfolios balanced.
## Market Closure on July 4, 2025
U.S. financial markets, including the Nasdaq and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), were closed on Friday, July 4, 2025, in observance of Independence Day, one of ten full-day holidays observed by U.S. exchanges in 2025. July 4 falls under the “Full Day Off” category for both the Nasdaq and NYSE, following the Federal Reserve’s holiday calendar and federal guidelines for market closures ([calendarlabs.com](https://www.calendarlabs.com/nasdaq-market-holidays-2025/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-stock-market-open-on-the-fourth-of-july-and-will-it-close-early-on-july-3-what-about-fedex-ups-and-mail-delivery-26eaf161?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The markets had also observed an early close at 1:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, July 3, 2025, in anticipation of the holiday ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [wsj.com](https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-06-30-2025/card/are-markets-closed-on-independence-day--JTGFFcvZOLruKJY0He8O?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Consequently, there was no regular trading activity for Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) on July 4, and the stock’s last reported session was on July 3.
## Last Trading Session: Thursday, July 3, 2025
In its final trading session before the holiday, Tesla shares closed at $315.05, down 0.19% from Wednesday’s close of $315.65. The stock opened at $316.78, reached an intraday high of $319.14, and traded as low as $312.79 during the shortened session, which ended at 1:00 p.m. ET due to the holiday schedule. Volume for the session was 56.56 million shares, markedly lower than the 118.84 million shares traded on July 2, reflecting both the early market close and many participants reducing exposure ahead of the holiday ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-price/TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Q2 Delivery Report and Immediate Reaction
Tesla reported its second-quarter 2025 vehicle deliveries on July 2, revealing production of 410,244 units and deliveries of 384,122 units. Though deliveries declined 13.5% year-over-year, the figures were slightly better than Wall Street’s expectations of 385,000–387,000 units, providing a modest relief rally. In the afternoon session on July 2, TSLA shares rallied 4.4%, briefly touching $313.39 before settling near its prior close ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-2-tesla-tsla-stock-trades-up-here-is-why?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/stocks-to-watch-july-2025-msft-tsla-amd-f-11763755?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). However, that uptick faded by July 3 as investors consolidated positions ahead of the holiday break, resulting in the slight decline to $315.05. Year-to-date through July 3, Tesla’s stock was down approximately 21%, pressured by delivery headwinds, intensifying competition from lower-priced Chinese EV makers, and political controversies surrounding CEO Elon Musk ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/stocks-to-watch-july-2025-msft-tsla-amd-f-11763755?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-quarterly-deliveries-seen-falling-again-2025-07-01/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Options and Derivatives Activity
Despite the holiday, option traders remained active on July 3. By 10:30 a.m. EDT, over 14,000 contracts of the July 320 put were traded—equivalent to 5.2% of TSLA’s total options volume for the session—while the underlying stock traded down around $2.70, or 0.83%, to $320.93. Of these put contracts, 56.7% were buys, indicating a bearish tilt among participants seeking downside protection or speculative exposure ([marketchameleon.com](https://marketchameleon.com/articles/b/2025/6/30/tsla-july-320-put-sees-14127-contracts-traded-with-implied-volatility-dropping-3-4-percent?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [marketchameleon.com](https://marketchameleon.com/articles/b/2025/6/30/tsla-july-320-put-sees-14127-contracts-traded-with-implied-volatility-dropping-3-4-percent?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Open interest updates following the session were anticipated to shed light on whether these were primarily new speculative positions or hedges against existing long stock exposure.
## Holiday-Related Volume and Volatility Patterns
Trading volume on July 3 was roughly half of the prior session’s volume, highlighting the effect of the early close and holiday week. Historically, markets around major U.S. holidays exhibit lower liquidity and heightened volatility due to thinner order books. Tesla’s July 3 volume of 56.56 million shares contrasted with 118.84 million on July 2, underscoring participants’ cautious stance ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-price/TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The early 1:00 p.m. ET close also truncated the typical afternoon trading window, reducing the opportunity for larger institutional block trades and algorithmic strategies to fully execute, which can lead to exaggerated intraday price swings even in a shortened session.
## Broader Context and Outlook
Tesla’s operating environment remains complex. Analysts forecast an 11% year-over-year decline in Q2 deliveries to approximately 394,380 units, driven by competition in Europe and China, political distractions, and slowing market growth. Tesla’s market share in key regions has eroded, with deliveries in China down nearly 30% year-over-year in May, and European registrations down 27.9%—trends that predate the holiday period ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-quarterly-deliveries-seen-falling-again-2025-07-01/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1jiqjct?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Meanwhile, CEO Elon Musk’s robotaxi ambitions and Full Self-Driving (FSD) rollout continue to draw investor focus, even as regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
With markets closed July 4 and the next regular trading day on Monday, July 7, investors and analysts will monitor pre-market indications on July 7 and any extended-hours moves. Key catalysts include the upcoming July 23 post-market Q2 earnings report and earnings call at 5:30 p.m. ET, where guidance and commentary on volume trends, pricing strategies, and FSD deployment timelines are expected to drive TSLA’s next significant price moves ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tsla-one-day-7th-anniversary-wall-street/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-receives-price-target-bump-to-500-from-piper-sandler/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
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**Data Sources**
- NASDAQ and NYSE holiday calendars: turn0search1, turn0search3
- Tesla trading metrics (open, high, low, close, volume): turn4search0
- Q2 delivery and stock reaction: turn1search5, turn5news13
- Options volume and sentiment: turn1search4, turn3search3
- Analyst delivery forecasts and regional sales trends: turn5news12, turn5reddit26
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