
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to another episode of Tesla Stock Daily Drive with your host, Dusty. We’re here to give you the latest scoop on everything Tesla from market movements to the big stories shaping the landscape. So grab a cup of coffee, sit back, and let’s dive in.
As we take a look at Tesla's last trading session on Thursday, July 3, 2025, the stock opened at $317.99, reached a high of $318.45, and closed at $315.35, slipping just 0.10% from the previous day. While that might seem minimal, it’s interesting considering the lower volume — only about 58 million shares compared to over 119 million on July 2. This dip hints at the typical calm before the holiday storm, with investors perhaps taking it easy as we headed into the Fourth of July weekend.
We saw a modest decline in the close price from $315.65 on July 2 to $315.35 on July 3. But it's worth noting that the 51% drop in trading volume signals a holiday-shortened week where fewer investors were eager to make bold moves. The $1.016 trillion market capitalization is a testament to Tesla’s formidable position in the industry, remaining just a stone's throw from its trillion-dollar mark which it first crossed last year.
Now, let’s talk about some of the key drivers behind Tesla’s movements. On July 2, Tesla announced its Q2 production and delivery figures. They produced 410,244 vehicles and delivered 384,122. While deliveries dipped slightly year-over-year, the real star was the energy storage deployment—9.6 gigawatt-hours, one of the highest on record. This strength in energy storage revenue helped offset concerns around vehicle deliveries amidst growing competition in the EV market.
Analysts have mixed feelings. Zacks Investment Research noted that despite falling short of delivery forecasts, Tesla's stock remained resilient. Long-term growth prospects in areas like autonomous driving continue to capture investor attention. Piper Sandler still sees Tesla as its top "buy-and-hold" idea with a price target of $500. On the flip side, Jefferies held onto a buy rating but slightly trimmed their target, citing some headwinds and mixed trends. This balancing act between hope and caution has kept Tesla’s day-to-day changes quite modest.
In terms of performance, Tesla shares are down 19.2% year-to-date as of July 3, dealing with challenges in the tech sector and wider market concerns. Yet, the stock seems to be in a consolidation phase, acting as a barometer of investor sentiment as we await upcoming catalysts.
Speaking of which, all eyes are now on the Q2 2025 earnings release, scheduled for July 23. Investors will be listening closely to updates on Full Self-Driving rollouts, Cybertruck production, energy deployments, and Elon Musk’s views on the Robotaxi timeline. With broader macroeconomic factors in play, like upcoming Fed minutes and semiconductor developments, we’re heading into an intriguing time for the market.
That's it for today's deep dive into Tesla's world. Thanks for joining me, Dusty, on this ride. Remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Until next time, keep those engines running and stay curious about the road ahead.
#### Trading Session Overview (Last Active Session: Thursday, July 3, 2025)
- **Open:** $317.99
- **High:** $318.45
- **Low:** $312.76
- **Close:** $315.35 (down 0.10% from prior session) ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [barchart.com](https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/TSLA%7C20250703%7C365.00C?utm_source=chatgpt.com))
- **Volume:** 58,042,302 shares (down from 119.5 million on July 2) ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com))
U.S. equity markets were closed on Friday, July 4, in observance of Independence Day, and remained closed over the weekend (July 5–6). Therefore, the last trading data relevant to “yesterday’s” news (July 5, 2025) reflects the session ended on July 3—Thursday before the holiday.
#### Comparison to Previous Session
- **July 2 Close:** $315.65
- **July 3 Close:** $315.35 (−0.10%)
- **July 2 Volume:** 119,483,730 shares
- **July 3 Volume:** 58,042,302 shares, a 51% decline indicating muted trading interest on the holiday-shortened week ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-market-cap-in-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com))
The modest 30-cent decline suggests investors held positions steady amid thin volume and ahead of the long weekend, with few new catalysts driving significant buying or selling pressure.
#### Market Capitalization and Share Count
Based on 3.22096 billion shares outstanding, Tesla’s market capitalization at Thursday’s close stood at approximately **$1.016 trillion** ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-market-cap-in-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). This level remains near the trillion-dollar threshold that Tesla first breached earlier in mid-2024, underscoring its status as one of the largest automakers by market value.
#### Key Driver: Q2 2025 Deliveries and Energy Storage Deployment
On Wednesday, July 2, Tesla reported Q2 2025 production and delivery figures that shaped investor expectations heading into Thursday’s session:
- **Total Vehicles Produced:** 410,244 units
- **Total Vehicles Delivered:** 384,122 units
- **Energy Storage Deployed:** 9.6 GWh, marking one of Tesla’s highest quarterly deployments on record ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-elon-musk-unlocks-23b-stock-options/?utm_source=chatgpt.com))
While deliveries were down year-over-year, the strong energy storage performance helped offset some concerns, as analysts and investors parsed the mix of unit volumes and higher-margin storage revenue amid broader EV market competition.
#### Analyst Commentary and Sentiment
Zacks Investment Research noted that, despite deliveries falling slightly short of consensus forecasts, the stock remained resilient, trading essentially flat on Thursday as long-term investors weighed Tesla’s growth prospects in autonomous driving and energy products ([barchart.com](https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/TSLA%7C20250703%7C365.00C?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Ahead of the July 23 Q2 earnings call, Wall Street remains divided:
- Piper Sandler reiterated Tesla as its “#1 buy-and-hold idea,” though its price target sits at $500, based on 120× FY26 EPS ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-receives-price-target-bump-to-500-from-piper-sandler/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
- Jefferies recently maintained a “Buy” rating but trimmed its price target modestly, citing macro headwinds and mixed delivery trends ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-jefferies-raises-pt-downgrades-rating/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
This blend of bullish long-term theses and short-term caution has contributed to the stock’s relatively subdued day-to-day moves.
#### Year-to-Date Performance and Volatility
Through July 3, Tesla shares are **down 19.2%** year-to-date, reflecting broader tech sector weakness and investor concerns over margin pressure, regulatory risks, and CEO Elon Musk’s political engagements ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). After peaking near **$358.43** on May 29, the stock has retraced sharply, trading in a range between $300 and $340 since early June.
#### Historical Context and Recent Trends
- **May 29, 2025 Close:** $358.43
- **June 23, 2025 Close:** $348.68
- **June 30, 2025 Close:** $317.66
- **July 1, 2025 Close:** $300.71
- **July 2, 2025 Close:** $315.65
- **July 3, 2025 Close:** $315.35 ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com))
This saw-saw pattern highlights how Tesla’s share price has oscillated around key product-cycle announcements and delivery data, with particularly large swings (~14%) following surprising production or delivery misses earlier in June.
#### Upcoming Catalysts and Outlook
Investors will next look to Tesla’s **Q2 2025 earnings release** after market close on **Wednesday, July 23**, with a conference call scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET. Topics likely to influence the stock include:
- Progress on Full Self-Driving (FSD) rollouts in new territories
- Cybertruck production ramps and pricing updates
- Energy storage and solar deployments vs. competition
- Elon Musk’s commentary on Robotaxi commercialization timelines ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-crosses-ytd-high-ath-q4-model-3-delivery-results/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Additionally, broader macroeconomic factors—such as Fed minutes due Monday, July 7, and ongoing semiconductor supply chain developments—may sway intraday volatility once trading resumes.
#### Conclusion
In the absence of fresh U.S. trading activity on Friday, July 4, and over the weekend (July 5), Tesla’s **Thursday, July 3** performance stands as the most recent barometer of investor sentiment. With a slight pullback on thin volume, the stock appears to be in a consolidation phase, as market participants await clearer signals from the forthcoming earnings call and macroeconomic updates in the week ahead.
More Episodes from Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
August 01, 2025
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
July 31, 2025