Tesla Stock Daily Drive

July 07, 2025 • Finance

Hosted by Dusty

About This Episode

Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.

Transcript

Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," where we navigate the ever-changing roads of financial markets. I'm Dusty, your guide through today’s journey. Let's dive into the highlights that set the stage for Tesla’s recent stock performance.

First off, let's clarify the trading days. The U.S. equity markets observed a holiday for Independence Day on Friday, July 4, 2025, remaining closed through the weekend. The final active trading session before this was Thursday, July 3. It's key to remember this as we explore the movements in Tesla's stock.

On July 3, Tesla experienced modest profit-taking. After a sharp rally earlier in the week, the stock saw a slight decline, closing at $315.35. This represented a 0.10% drop. The activity appeared normal following the company’s second-quarter delivery figures, which provided a bit of a reality check after heightened volatility.

Why did this happen? On July 2, Tesla reported its delivery figures—384,122 vehicles in Q2, slightly above expectations. Even though this was a 14% decrease year-over-year, it was a relief to many analysts bracing for worse. The initial positive reaction pushed TSLA shares up almost 5%.

Broader market trends added context. On July 3, tech stocks led a rebound driven by optimism over Federal Reserve policy expectations and upcoming job data. Despite initial gains, traders took some profits, rotating into other high-beta names.

Political elements played a role as well. Concerns about Elon Musk's engagements, such as disputes over EV incentives, lingered. Investors remain vigilant about regulatory changes and fiscal policies impacting Tesla’s operations.

Looking at Tesla's performance year-to-date through July 3, the stock is down about 19.2%. It’s been volatile, trading between $182 and $488 over the past year. Yet, it remains a powerhouse with a market cap near $1 trillion.

Technically speaking, Tesla traded lighter on July 3, with 58 million shares compared to its daily average. Support levels find themselves around $312, with resistance near $318.50. Despite short-term gains, Tesla sits below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages, pointing to a longer-term downtrend.

In conclusion, while Tesla’s stock pulled back slightly on July 3, it followed an impressive rally buoyed by better-than-expected delivery numbers. As we look forward, it’s crucial to monitor U.S. economic data, regulatory developments, and market reactions when trading resumes after the break.

Remember, as we explore these market movements, staying informed and objective helps navigate the turbulent seas of investing.

Thank you for tuning in to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm Dusty. When the dust settles, only the truth remains. Until next time, keep your eyes on the road and your mind on the market.

## Market Holiday and Date Clarification

U.S. equity markets were closed for Independence Day on Friday, July 4, 2025, and additionally on the weekend of July 5–6, 2025, meaning no trading took place on Sunday, July 6. As a result, the last active trading session prior to July 6 was Thursday, July 3, 2025 ([brecorder.com](https://www.brecorder.com/news/40370823/wall-st-recovers-with-help-from-nvidia-tesla), [investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Throughout this report, references to “yesterday” align with July 6, 2025, but the relevant market activity occurred on July 3, 2025.

## Trading Summary for July 3, 2025

On the July 3 session, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) exhibited modest profit-taking following a sharp rally earlier in the week. According to Investing.com, TSLA opened at $317.99, reached an intraday high of $318.45 and a low of $312.76, before closing at $315.35, representing a slight decline of 0.10% on volume of 58.04 million shares traded ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-price/TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). This session marked a normalization after heightened volatility driven by the company’s second-quarter delivery figures.

## Drivers of Tesla’s Stock Movement

1. Second-Quarter Delivery Report
On July 2, 2025, Tesla reported delivering 384,122 vehicles in Q2, a year-over-year decline of 14% yet slightly above the market consensus of approximately 387,000 units ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/02/tesla-tsla-q2-2025-vehicle-delivery-and-production-numbers.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/01/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Investors had braced for a steeper drop—some models of street-level analysts expected around 356,000 units—so the outcome was seen as a relative positive in a challenging macro environment. As a result, TSLA shares jumped about 5% in premarket trading on July 2 and closed up nearly 5% on that day, setting the stage for the subsequent session’s activity ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/01/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/02/tesla-tsla-q2-2025-vehicle-delivery-and-production-numbers.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

2. Broader Market Context
On July 3, U.S. equity indexes rebounded from early losses, buoyed by optimism over the Federal Reserve’s rate path and anticipation of the June non-farm payrolls report ([brecorder.com](https://www.brecorder.com/news/40370823/wall-st-recovers-with-help-from-nvidia-tesla)). Technology stocks led the recovery, with Nvidia, Apple and Tesla among the top contributors. Despite Tesla’s earlier rally, mild profit-taking emerged as traders rotated into other high-beta names ahead of the holiday-shortened week, resulting in TSLA’s minor pullback.

3. Political and Policy Backdrop
The delivery report’s positive surprise may have helped offset lingering investor concerns about CEO Elon Musk’s high-profile political engagements, including his public disputes over EV incentives and tax policy. Market participants remain attentive to potential regulatory developments, trade tariff rhetoric and the timing of Fed rate adjustments—all factors that could influence Tesla’s cost structure and demand trajectory.

## Tesla’s Year-to-Date Performance and Historical Context

Year-to-date through July 3, 2025, Tesla stock closed at $315.35, marking a decline of approximately 19.2% for the year ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-stock-price-2025-chart?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Over the past 52 weeks, TSLA has traded within a range of $182.00 (low) to $488.54 (high), reflecting the extreme volatility tied to delivery cycles, macroeconomic shifts and company-specific events ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-price/TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). With roughly 3.22 billion shares outstanding, Tesla’s market capitalization stood near $1 trillion as of July 2, underscoring its retained status as one of the most valuable automakers globally ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-historical-market-cap-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tsla-stock-price-2025-chart?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

## Technical Considerations and Volume Profile

- Volume: The 58.04 million shares traded on July 3 were below the stock’s one-year daily average of around 80–100 million, indicating relatively subdued participation in the wake of the holiday ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
- Support and Resistance: Near-term technical support lies at the $312.00–$313.00 zone (established lows on July 3), while resistance may emerge around $318.50–$320.00, the high-end of the same session’s trading range.
- Moving Averages: Tesla remains below its 50-day moving average of approximately $330 and well under its 200-day moving average near $340, signaling a continued medium-term downtrend despite short-term rebounds.

## Conclusion

While Tesla’s stock pulled back modestly on July 3, it did so off the back of a significant rally driven by better-than-expected Q2 delivery figures and broader market optimism over Fed policy and economic data. The absence of trading on July 4–6 accentuates the importance of monitoring developments in deliveries, U.S. jobs data and potential regulatory actions when markets reopen on Monday, July 7. With TSLA navigating a complex mix of demand headwinds, competitive pressures and high valuation multiples, investors remain focused on execution metrics, macro-policy shifts and technical thresholds to gauge the stock’s trajectory in the second half of 2025.

Tesla Stock Daily Drive