
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm Dusty, your guide through today’s financial landscape, where we'll explore Tesla's recent stock performance, the market factors at play, and what analysts are saying.
Let’s dive into the numbers. On July 7, 2025, Tesla took a significant tumble, closing at $293.94, a 6.70% drop from its previous close. This decline wiped out roughly $68 billion in market cap, bringing Tesla’s valuation just under the trillion-dollar mark. It’s a stark contrast to the valuation of over $1.07 trillion it enjoyed just days ago.
Now, what happened during the trading day? Tesla shares opened lower, reflecting investor jitters, and ranged between $288.71 and $296.15. Volume surged to 130 million shares, much higher than the average, translating to an eye-popping $38.25 billion in value exchanged.
This decline wasn’t mirrored in the broader market. The S&P 500 dipped modestly, while the Dow and Nasdaq saw similar small declines. Tesla’s situation was more severe, pointing to company-specific events rather than a market-wide trend.
The catalyst? CEO Elon Musk announced plans to form a new “America Party,” reigniting tensions with political figures. Investors are concerned about Musk’s focus shifting from Tesla, potentially impacting subsidies and strategic decisions.
The macroeconomic backdrop adds another layer of complexity. With resilient economic data and the Fed maintaining its rate stance, growth stocks like Tesla feel pressure from high borrowing costs.
Analysts are reacting with mixed takes. Wedbush’s Dan Ives notes some investor fatigue over Musk's political maneuvers, while William Blair downgraded Tesla, citing risks from leadership distractions. Yet, Mizuho remains optimistic, setting a price target that's well above current levels. There’s a clear divergence in opinions.
Technically speaking, conditions appear oversold, hinting at a possible rebound. Short sellers have capitalized, earning significant profits. Price targets vary widely, from bullish forecasts as high as $1,232 to more moderate figures.
Looking back at Tesla’s recent operations, Q2 brought notable achievements with over 384,000 vehicles delivered and substantial energy storage outputs. All eyes will be on the upcoming earnings call, with expectations set for insights into margins and new product updates.
Financially, the forecast for Q2 includes revenue of $22.66 billion and an EPS of $0.41, both down from last year. Analysts are particularly interested in cash flow and any guidance on automotive and energy segments.
Year-to-date, Tesla’s stock experienced a strong rally, driven by optimism around new innovations. Yet recent drops highlight challenges from geopolitical tensions and competitive pressures, especially from players like BYD.
So, what’s the takeaway for investors? Stay attentive to leadership movements and the broader economic indicators, which can greatly influence Tesla’s trajectory. The mix of enthusiasm and caution from analysts underscores the complexity of the current market dynamics.
That’s all for today’s drive. Remember, in the world of finance, "When the dust settles, only the truth remains." Thanks for joining me, Dusty, and stay tuned for more insights tomorrow.
## Daily Stock Performance
On July 7, 2025, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares closed at $293.94, marking a 6.70% decline from the prior session’s close of $315.05. The drop erased roughly $68 billion in market capitalization, reducing Tesla’s valuation to just under $1 trillion after briefly topping $1.07 trillion on Friday ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/tesla-stock-price-took-a-fall-of-670-on-monday-2025-07-07?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [financemagnates.com](https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/elon-musks-tesla-share-price-tumbles-to-lowest-level-in-a-month-why-is-tsla-stock-going-down?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Intraday Activity
Tesla shares gapped down at the open, trading as low as $288.71 and reaching an intraday high of $296.15. The stock opened at $291.37, reflecting pre-market investor nervousness, and last traded near $293.63 in late afternoon trading ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/tesla-stock-price-took-a-fall-of-670-on-monday-2025-07-07?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [marketbeat.com](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/tesla-nasdaqtsla-shares-gap-down-heres-what-happened-2025-07-07/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Volume surged to approximately 130 million shares—well above the 30-day average of 90 million—translating into about $38.25 billion in notional value exchanged on the day ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/tesla-stock-price-took-a-fall-of-670-on-monday-2025-07-07?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Comparison to Broader Markets
The S&P 500 fell modestly by 0.79%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite declined by 0.94% and 0.92%, respectively. Tesla’s 6.70% decline far outpaced these benchmark moves, underscoring the company-specific drivers behind the sell-off rather than a general market downturn ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/tesla-tsla-sees-more-significant-dip-broader-market-some-facts-know?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/06/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Catalyst: CEO Political Move
The sharp decline followed CEO Elon Musk’s announcement over the weekend that he would form a new “America Party,” rekindling a public feud with President Donald Trump and raising concerns that Musk’s political pursuits could distract from Tesla’s operations. Investors worry about potential retaliation in the form of cuts to U.S. EV subsidies and the loss of Musk’s strategic focus on Tesla’s core business ([financemagnates.com](https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/elon-musks-tesla-share-price-tumbles-to-lowest-level-in-a-month-why-is-tsla-stock-going-down?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-7-why-tesla-tsla-stock-is-down-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Macro and Central Bank Context
Against a backdrop of resilient economic data and sticky inflation readings, Bank of America reiterated its base case of no Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2025. The Fed’s “wait-and-see” stance has kept borrowing costs elevated, pressuring growth-oriented and high-beta stocks like Tesla ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/06/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/tesla-tsla-sees-more-significant-dip-broader-market-some-facts-know?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Analyst Reactions
Wedbush’s Dan Ives noted a “broader sense of exhaustion” among investors over Musk’s political entanglements, while William Blair downgraded Tesla to a “Market Perform” rating, citing heightened risk from leadership distractions. At the same time, Mizuho reaffirmed its “outperform” stance with a $390 target, reflecting divergent analyst views on Tesla’s medium-term prospects ([markets.financialcontent.com](https://markets.financialcontent.com/wral/article/stockstory-2025-7-7-why-tesla-tsla-stock-is-down-today?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/tesla-stock-price-took-a-fall-of-670-on-monday-2025-07-07?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Technical and Price Target Perspectives
Technical analysts point to oversold conditions following Monday’s drop, suggesting a potential pullback rally toward $320 in the near term. Conversely, short sellers capitalized on the decline, reportedly pocketing $1.4 billion in profits. Meanwhile, bullish price targets range from Morgan Stanley’s $410 to Morgan Stanley bull-case forecasts as high as $800–$1,232 per share, underscoring polarized sentiment ([financemagnates.com](https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/elon-musks-tesla-share-price-tumbles-to-lowest-level-in-a-month-why-is-tsla-stock-going-down?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/morgan-stanley-reinstates-tesla-as-top-pick-with-nearly-50-upside-to-its-target-3901790?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Recent Operational Highlights
In Q2 2025, Tesla delivered 384,122 vehicles and deployed 9.6 GWh of energy storage—among its highest quarterly energy outputs—driven primarily by Model 3/Y volumes. Production totaled 410,244 units, setting the stage for Tesla’s Q2 2025 earnings call scheduled for July 23. Investors will be watching for margins, guidance, and updates on the Cybertruck and Full Self-Driving rollout ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-2070-price-target-morgan-stanley/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/tesla-tsla-sees-more-significant-dip-broader-market-some-facts-know?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Forward-Looking Financials
Consensus estimates for Tesla’s upcoming Q2 earnings call forecast an EPS of $0.41 on revenue of $22.66 billion, representing year-over-year declines of 21.2% and 11.1%, respectively. Analysts will also scrutinize free cash flow generation and guidance for automotive and energy segments, given recent capital expenditure commitments for new Gigafactories ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/tesla-tsla-sees-more-significant-dip-broader-market-some-facts-know?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Industry and Year-to-Date Context
Tesla’s stock had rallied over 40% in Q2 on optimism around FSD software, Optimus robotics, and new factory capacity. However, the July 7 sell-off leaves TSLA down more than a third from its December highs amid intensifying competition from BYD in key markets, geopolitical risks in China, and broader concerns about leadership focus and valuation premiums ([financemagnates.com](https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/elon-musks-tesla-share-price-tumbles-to-lowest-level-in-a-month-why-is-tsla-stock-going-down?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-news/tesla-stock-price-took-a-fall-of-670-on-monday-2025-07-07?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
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