Tesla Stock Daily Drive

July 15, 2025 • Finance

Hosted by Dusty

About This Episode

Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.

Transcript

Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," I'm Dusty, and today we're diving into the latest updates on Tesla and the broader market. So, grab your cup of coffee, settle in, and let’s get started.

On July 14, 2025, Tesla made headlines with a steady performance. Opening at $317.73, Tesla shares hit a high of $322.60, before closing at $316.90—a gain of 1.08% on just under 78 million shares traded. This was actually below Tesla’s average volume, signaling a quieter day for the stock, even with the price uptick.

What’s interesting is how Tesla managed this increase despite broader concerns in the tech sector. The Nasdaq Composite reached new heights, driven by tech enthusiasm. But despite the good vibes, there are still those looming tariff concerns, with upcoming 30% duties on imports from Mexico and the EU. Investors seem to be brushing these off for now, eyes keenly fixed on the upcoming wave of Q2 earnings and key economic data.

Amid this environment, big tech players showed mixed results. Amazon and Alphabet gained, while Apple and Nvidia saw slight declines. It's a testament to the sector's mixed reactions to global headlines.

Now, let’s shift gears to some analyst insights. UBS analysts retained a “sell” stance on Tesla, labeling it as "fundamentally overvalued." They raised concerns over weakening auto fundamentals and CEO Elon Musk's external ventures. They set a target price of $215, quite below Tesla's current levels. In the options market, sentiments were mixed. Bullish calls were high, but bearish bets surged, signaling expected volatility.

Year-to-date, Tesla's shares have slid over 22%, reflecting broader turbulence among high-growth stocks. Monday’s close just above the 200-day moving average could provide some support, but any slip might lead to further downturns below the $300 mark.

Production and delivery numbers remain crucial for Tesla. Their report on July 2 showed 384,122 vehicles delivered for Q2, slightly missing Wall Street estimates. Investors are also keeping watch on Tesla’s upcoming initiatives, like the Austin robotaxi service and the Optimus humanoid project.

As we look ahead, Tesla's future will likely hinge on its Q2 earnings call, especially concerning production strategies and cost controls. The $315–$310 range might act as support, while resistance could cluster around $322–$325.

Tesla's performance has a significant impact on market mood, serving as a barometer for broader tech sentiment. So, whether you're a seasoned investor or just curious about market dynamics, keeping an eye on Tesla can offer valuable insights.

That wraps up today’s episode. Remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Thanks for tuning in to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," and I’ll catch you in the next one. Safe investing!

## Daily Stock Performance

On Monday, July 14, 2025, Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares opened at $317.73, reached an intraday high of $322.60 and a low of $312.67, before closing at $316.90. This represented a gain of $3.39, or 1.08%, on trading volume of 77,971,296 shares ([business.inyoregister.com](https://business.inyoregister.com/inyoregister/quote/historical?Symbol=537%3A11448018&utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The session’s volume was below Tesla’s recent trading patterns, given its 10-day average volume of 98.32 million shares, signaling a relatively muted participation despite the stock’s upward move ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/TSLA/?os=vbkn42tqho5H1RAdvp&ref=app&utm_source=chatgpt.com), [business.inyoregister.com](https://business.inyoregister.com/inyoregister/quote/historical?Symbol=537%3A11448018&utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

## Broader Market Context

Tesla’s modest advance occurred alongside a broader technology-led rally that pushed the Nasdaq Composite to a fresh record high. Investors appeared to shrug off renewed U.S. tariff concerns—including upcoming 30% duties on imports from Mexico and the EU—while bracing for a wave of Q2 corporate earnings and key economic releases on inflation and consumer confidence later in the week ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/dow-jones-today-07142025-11771416)). Within this environment, major tech names were mixed: Amazon and Alphabet edged higher, Apple dipped roughly 1%, and Nvidia gave back 0.5%, illustrating the sector’s divergent reactions to macro headlines ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/dow-jones-today-07142025-11771416)).

## Analyst Views and Derivative Activity

Despite the day’s uptick, UBS analysts reiterated a “sell” stance on Tesla shares, deeming them “fundamentally overvalued” ahead of next week’s Q2 earnings update. The note highlighted concerns over weakening auto fundamentals, the impending removal of 100% margin credits, and CEO Elon Musk’s external commitments, setting a $215 price target well below prevailing levels ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/dow-jones-today-07142025-11771416)). Meanwhile, options markets reflected mixed sentiment: while bullish call volumes remained robust, bearish bets surged as open interest in the July 18 $100 put ballooned by 118.41 thousand contracts—underscoring heightened volatility expectations despite a 1.08% stock gain on the day ([ainvest.com](https://www.ainvest.com/news/whale-moves-tsla-100-put-open-interest-surges-118-41k-nvda-calls-puts-significant-gains-2507/)).

## Year-to-Date Performance and Technical Context

Year to date, Tesla’s shares have slumped approximately 22.4%, trimming more than a fifth of market value since the turn of the year ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/TSLA/?os=vbkn42tqho5H1RAdvp&ref=app&utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/dow-jones-today-07142025-11771416)). The stock’s sell-off reflects a broader reassessment of high-multiple growth names amid slowing EV sales growth and margin pressure. Technically, Monday’s close at $316.90 sits just above the 200-day moving average (around $315), suggesting potential support in this zone; however, failure to hold could invite further downside toward $300 and below.

## Production, Delivery Trends and Upcoming Catalysts

Fundamental drivers remain centered on Tesla’s Q2 delivery and production figures. On July 2, Tesla reported delivering 384,122 vehicles for the quarter—just shy of Wall Street’s consensus of 385,086—and deploying 9.6 GWh in energy storage, one of its highest quarterly tallies to date ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-stock-may-2024-most-shorted-large-cap-stock-hazeltree/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). With Q2 earnings scheduled for release next week, investors will scrutinize not only sales volumes but also updates on Model 3/Y pricing strategies, the impact of waning federal EV tax credits on margins, and progress on new initiatives such as the Austin robotaxi service and Optimus humanoid pilot line ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/dow-jones-today-07142025-11771416)).

## Outlook and Key Levels

Looking ahead, Tesla’s share price will likely hinge on the Q2 earnings call, management’s guidance on production ramp-ups and cost controls, and any commentary on regulatory credit revenue. In the near term, support is expected near the $315–$310 range, with resistance around the $322–$325 cluster, marking the recent highs. Given the stock’s outsized influence on broader market sentiment, its performance this week may also sway tech indices and risk appetite across asset classes.

Tesla Stock Daily Drive