
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," where we navigate the ups and downs of Tesla’s journey in the stock market. I'm Dusty, your guide through today’s twists and turns, so let’s dive right in.
Today, we're focusing on July 15, 2025, a day that saw Tesla opening at $319.68. It briefly flirted with a high of $321.20 before dipping to $310.50, closing at $310.78. This is a decline of about $6.12, or 1.9%, from the previous day’s close. The trading volume hit around 77.56 million shares, just under the 30-day average, indicating a quieter day in terms of trading activity.
Year-to-date, Tesla has been a bit of a rollercoaster, down roughly 23% and sitting about 36% below its all-time high. Investors are wrestling with concerns around delivery cuts and margin pressures. Interestingly, Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest took advantage of this dip, picking up nearly 60,000 shares, which shows confidence from a major player.
Technically speaking, Tesla’s shares are forming a new base with a buy point at 367.71. They remain volatile, though, with a 21-day average true range of 4.38%, highlighting the market's lively swings in recent weeks.
But what’s driving these movements? First off, we’re seeing some executive shakeups. Troy Jones, Tesla’s VP of sales, service, and delivery in North America, exited, marking the second high-profile departure in a month. It’s stirring concerns about leadership stability just ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings report.
The U.S. electric vehicle market is also showing softness, with a 6% year-over-year sales drop in Q2. Tesla's deliveries fell 13%, prompting analysts to reevaluate growth forecasts. However, while these numbers are pivotal short-term, there's potential news from abroad. Tesla opened its first showroom in Mumbai, India, aiming to capture the luxury EV market there, though the immediate impact on U.S. trading was overshadowed by domestic challenges.
Looking forward, analysts have revised Tesla's global delivery forecast for 2025 from 2.1 million down to 1.7 million vehicles, a reflection of the softer-than-expected demand. All eyes will be on Tesla's Q2 earnings report on July 23, where analysts will scrutinize margins, cash flow, and updates from Elon Musk, which could significantly sway sentiment.
And then there’s the federal tax credits set to expire later this quarter. This could temporarily inflate demand in Q3 but risk creating a revenue gap in Q4 if the credits aren’t extended.
Tesla’s recent movements underscore a caution among investors, balancing current execution risks against long-term innovation strategies like the robotaxi and expansion into India. As the market prepares for the Q2 earnings, the big questions will revolve around Tesla's strategic directions and how it plans to address these multifaceted challenges.
That wraps up our session for today. Thanks for joining me on "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm Dusty, and remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Stay curious, folks.
## Intraday Trading Summary
On July 15, 2025, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares opened at \$319.68, reached an intraday high of \$321.20, dipped to a low of \$310.50, and ultimately closed at \$310.78. This represented a decline of \$6.12, or 1.9%, from the prior trading day’s close of \$316.90, on trading volume of approximately 77.56 million shares, slightly below the 30-day average of 85 million shares ([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-2024-to-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-ev-sales-musk-1e3ad515?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Technical Indicators and Positioning
• Year-to-date, Tesla stock remains down roughly 23%, trading some 36% below its all-time high as investors grapple with delivery cuts and margin pressure ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-new-base-cathie-wood-is-buying-elon-musk-business-empire-consolidation/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
• Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest added nearly 60,000 TSLA shares during the dip, signaling conviction from a high-profile, long-term investor ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-new-base-cathie-wood-is-buying-elon-musk-business-empire-consolidation/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
• Technically, shares have formed a new base with a 367.71 buy point, but remain volatile, as evidenced by a 21-day average true range of 4.38%, underscoring wide swings in recent weeks ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/news/tesla-stock-new-base-cathie-wood-is-buying-elon-musk-business-empire-consolidation/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## News Drivers Behind the Move
1. **Executive Turmoil**: On July 15, Barron’s and The Wall Street Journal reported the departure of Troy Jones, Tesla’s vice president of sales, service, and delivery in North America, marking the second senior sales-linked exit in under a month after Omead Afshar’s ouster. The exits stoked concerns over leadership instability ahead of Tesla’s Q2 earnings ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-ev-sales-musk-1e3ad515?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/tesla-loses-another-top-sales-exec-report-says-11772536?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
2. **U.S. EV Market Softness**: Tesla’s stock slide was further pressured by disappointing industry data showing U.S. electric-vehicle sales fell 6% year-over-year in Q2, with Tesla’s own deliveries down 13% in the period, prompting analysts to revisit growth forecasts ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-ev-sales-musk-1e3ad515?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
3. **Global Expansion Ambitions**: On the same day, Tesla inaugurated its first Indian showroom in Mumbai and began accepting orders for the Model Y at prices starting around \$70,000, aiming to tap a nascent luxury-EV segment despite steep import tariffs. While a long-term positive, the near-term impact on U.S. trading was muted as investors focused on domestic headwinds ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-sell-model-y-cars-starting-69766-india-2025-07-15/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Analyst Revisions and Near-Term Catalysts
• **Delivery Outlook Cut**: Wall Street has trimmed its 2025 global delivery forecast for Tesla from 2.1 million vehicles to 1.7 million, down from 1.8 million in 2024, reflecting softer-than-expected demand ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-ev-sales-musk-1e3ad515?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
• **Q2 Earnings Preview**: Tesla is set to report Q2 results on July 23, with analysts zeroing in on gross margins, cash-flow generation, and updates on the robotaxi and lower-cost Model 2 programs; comments from CEO Elon Musk could swing sentiment sharply ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-ev-sales-musk-1e3ad515?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
• **Federal Tax Credit Cliff**: The impending sunset of full federal EV tax credits later this quarter is expected to temporarily boost Q3 demand, but may trigger a pull-forward effect, risking a Q4 revenue gap if credits lapse ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-price-ev-sales-musk-1e3ad515?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Outlook
Tesla’s 1.9% drop on July 15 underscores investor caution amid leadership churn and softer EV sales, even as longer-term bets — from India entry to robotaxi deployment — remain intact. In the coming week, market focus will pivot to Tesla’s Q2 earnings on July 23 and any fresh guidance on vehicle volumes, pricing strategy, and capital allocation. The balance between short-term execution risks and Tesla’s innovation pipeline will likely dictate TSLA’s trajectory through year-end.
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