Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," your go-to podcast for the latest insights into Tesla's market movements. I'm Dusty, your host, bringing you the day's highlights in a calm and thoughtful manner.
Let's dive right in. Tesla shares closed at $329.65 last Friday, up over 3% from the previous session. That's a nice pop for investors, considering the stock traded between $321 and $331 on a day when its volume surpassed the five-day average. Despite this, it didn't quite hit the 50-day average.
Now, let's paint the broader market picture. It was a mixed day across the major U.S. averages. The NASDAQ Composite barely moved, while the Dow dipped slightly. The S&P 500 showed a marginal decline as investors proceeded with caution ahead of a busy earnings week. Against this backdrop, Tesla outperformed its large-cap peers, driven by some specific factors we’ll get into shortly.
So, what were these key catalysts? First off, Tesla resolved a lingering legal issue—a settlement related to a 2019 Model 3 crash. Clearing this overhang likely provided a positive boost for the stock. In addition, the U.S. Commerce Department's announcement of anti-dumping duties on certain graphite imports from China might raise Tesla’s production costs a bit—but analysts are predicting only a modest $200 increase per vehicle.
All eyes are now on Tesla’s upcoming second-quarter earnings report scheduled for July 23. With revenue expected to dip, Wall Street will be focusing on guidance related to vehicle deliveries, margins, and the robotaxi rollout.
On the technical front, Tesla is showing signs of a bullish reversal pattern. If the stock manages to break above last Friday’s high, it might just rally toward the $340–$342 resistance zone. However, immediate support remains at the $321 mark. The stock's 50-day moving average has crossed above its 100-day average, indicating an upward trend, though momentum indicators suggest we could see some pullback in the short term.
Despite Friday's upturn, Tesla is still about 32.5% below its peak from December last year and down roughly 17.5% year-to-date. With the Q2 earnings report looming, investors will be keenly observing for any hints on delivery trends, revenue, margins, and Tesla's ventures into robo-taxi services. Trade-related tariffs and other macroeconomic challenges might continue to add volatility to the stock.
It's an exciting and uncertain time for Tesla, and we'll be right here, breaking it all down for you. Thank you for tuning in to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm Dusty, and remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Take care.
## Session Summary (July 18, 2025)
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares closed at $329.65 on Friday, July 18, marking a 3.21% gain from the prior session’s close of $319.41. The stock traded in a range of $321.42 to $330.90 on volume of approximately 93.6 million shares, surpassing its five‐day average but remaining below the 50‐day average of 109.3 million shares ([twelvedata.com](https://twelvedata.com/markets/192184/stock/nasdaq/tsla/historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/tesla-inc-stock-climbs-3-2-outperforms-competitors-81170144-f21f3a114fd5?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Broader Market Context
Friday’s session was characterized by mixed results in the major U.S. averages. The NASDAQ Composite finished nearly flat at 20,895.66 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.3% to 44,342.19. The S&P 500 edged down marginally, reflecting investor caution ahead of a busy earnings week. Against this backdrop, Tesla outperformed most large-cap peers, bolstered by stock-specific catalysts ([marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/tesla-inc-stock-climbs-3-2-outperforms-competitors-81170144-f21f3a114fd5?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investors.com](https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-inflation-survey-netflix-nflx-stock/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Key Catalysts
Investor sentiment toward Tesla was buoyed by two main developments on Friday. First, an undisclosed legal settlement was reached over a 2019 Model 3 crash involving its driver-assistance system, removing a significant legal overhang that had weighed on the shares ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-china-tariff-ev-7db6b655?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Second, the U.S. Commerce Department announced anti-dumping duties of 93.5% on certain graphite imports from China—graphite being a critical component in EV batteries. While this could raise production costs for Tesla and rivals, analysts estimate the impact at roughly $200 per vehicle, a relatively modest increase in the context of vehicle pricing ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-china-tariff-ev-7db6b655?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Additionally, investors are positioning ahead of Tesla’s second-quarter earnings report, scheduled after the market close on July 23. Street expectations call for a year-over-year revenue decline, with Wall Street closely watching guidance on vehicle deliveries, margins, and progress on the planned robotaxi rollout ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-tesla-google-earnings-ai-stock-nvidia-amd/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Technical Outlook
From a technical standpoint, Tesla’s recent price action has formed a bullish reversal pattern. A sustained breach above Friday’s high near $331 could open the way toward resistance in the $340–$342 zone—levels defined by the June 24 high and key Fibonacci retracement lines. On the downside, immediate support sits at Friday’s low of $321.42 and the psychological $300 mark ([ainvest.com](https://www.ainvest.com/news/tesla-stock-jumps-3-21-technicals-signal-bullish-reversal-331-resistance-2507/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [tradersunion.com](https://tradersunion.com/news/financial-news/show/343434-tesla-stock-jumps/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The stock’s 50-day moving average, now around $315, crossed above its 100-day MA in early July, reinforcing an intermediate uptrend. Meanwhile, momentum indicators such as the MACD and RSI suggest growing bullish conviction, albeit with signs of near-term overbought conditions that could prompt consolidation ([ainvest.com](https://www.ainvest.com/news/tesla-stock-jumps-3-21-technicals-signal-bullish-reversal-331-resistance-2507/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [tradersunion.com](https://tradersunion.com/news/financial-news/show/343434-tesla-stock-jumps/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Background Metrics
Despite Friday’s rally, Tesla shares remain under pressure on a longer-term basis. The stock is trading roughly 32.5% below its 52-week high of $488.54, reached on December 18, 2024, and is down approximately 17.5% year-to-date as of mid-July 2025 ([marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/tesla-inc-stock-climbs-3-2-outperforms-competitors-81170144-f21f3a114fd5?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/tesla-stock-price-history-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). With the company’s Q2 earnings imminent, investors will be watching not only delivery and revenue trends but also management’s outlook on margins, energy storage deployments, and progress toward autonomous robo-taxi services. These factors, coupled with ongoing macroeconomic headwinds such as trade‐related tariffs, will likely drive Tesla’s stock volatility into next week’s earnings event.
More Episodes from Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
August 01, 2025
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
July 31, 2025