
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome back to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm your host, Dusty. Today, we're diving into the latest on Tesla's stock performance and broader market movements with a calm, thoughtful approach.
Let’s start with Tesla’s performance on July 23, 2025. Tesla shares opened at $330.87, reached a high of $336.20, dipped to a low of $328.67, and ultimately closed at $333.00, marking a 0.64% gain for the day. However, after-hours trading was less kind, with shares dropping 4.44% to $317.80 after some underwhelming Q2 results.
Before we dig into those earnings, it's important to note that Tesla has been struggling a bit this year, down about 19% year-to-date. Still, there's been a bit of a rebound recently, as traders anticipated new product launches and cost-cutting measures.
Now, about those earnings—Tesla reported second-quarter revenue of $22.5 billion, which is a 12% decline from the previous year and below what analysts expected. Their adjusted earnings per share also fell short. With vehicle deliveries down 14% and regulatory credit sales weakening, it's clear that investor concerns were valid.
CEO Elon Musk's comments during the earnings call added to the cautious atmosphere. He pointed to challenges like expiring EV tax credits and competition from Chinese automakers. While there’s buzz around the Austin robotaxi service and a new affordable model, investors are worried about compressed margins and vague timelines.
In the broader market context, while Tesla faced its struggles, other indices showed more positivity. The Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average all posted gains, buoyed by a new U.S.–Japan trade deal. This contrast illustrates how sector-specific issues, like those facing Tesla, can diverge sharply from broader market performance.
From a technical standpoint, Tesla shares have been testing resistance around $336 while finding support at $328. They're in the lower quartile of their 52-week range, suggesting limited short-term upside for momentum traders. Volume yesterday was pretty consistent with averages, hinting at investor caution as they await more clarity.
Analyst opinions are mixed. Some see long-term growth potential, particularly in Tesla's upcoming products, while others highlight short-term pressures that could weigh on the stock. The average price target does suggest some downside from yesterday’s close, reflecting the cautious stance.
Moving forward, Tesla’s ability to maintain margins, scale new models, and manage regulatory challenges will be critical. Musk’s political activities add another dimension of risk, potentially affecting brand perception and demand. While the broad markets are buoyed by trade optimism, Tesla will need to focus on micro-level execution to meet investor expectations.
As we wrap up today’s discussion, remember: when the dust settles, only the truth remains. Thanks for joining me on this journey through Tesla's stock landscape. We'll be back tomorrow with more insights. Until then, take care and stay informed.
## Tesla Stock Performance on July 23, 2025
As investors parsed Tesla’s second-quarter results, TSLA shares opened at $330.87, rallied to an intraday high of $336.20, dipped to a session low of $328.67, and ultimately closed at $333.00—up 0.64% from the prior trading day—on a volume of 72.4 million shares. In after-hours trading, following the release of underwhelming Q2 figures, the stock plunged 4.44% to $317.80 on heavier volume of 18.6 million shares, signaling investor disappointment beyond regular hours ([twelvedata.com](https://twelvedata.com/markets/192184/stock/nasdaq/tsla/historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes//TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
Before the earnings release, TSLA had been among the laggards in large-cap tech, down approximately 19% year-to-date, reflecting mounting investor concerns over vehicle delivery headwinds and margin pressures ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-q2-2025-earnings-call-updates/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [businessinsider.com](https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-tsla-stock-q2-earnings-report-call-2025-7-2025-7?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Over the past month, however, shares had rebounded roughly 10.8% from early July lows near $300.71 to yesterday’s close at $333.00, as traders anticipated a rebound driven by new product launches and cost-cutting measures ([twelvedata.com](https://twelvedata.com/markets/192184/stock/nasdaq/tsla/historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [twelvedata.com](https://twelvedata.com/markets/192184/stock/nasdaq/tsla/historical-data?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Q2 2025 Earnings Recap and After-Hours Reaction
Tesla reported second-quarter 2025 revenue of $22.5 billion, a 12% year-over-year decline and the steepest drop in over a decade, against FactSet consensus of $22.64 billion. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.40, below the $0.42 analysts had forecast. Vehicle deliveries fell 14% year-over-year, regulatory credit sales weakened, and average selling prices continued to compress amid broader EV market softness ([businessinsider.com](https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-tsla-stock-q2-earnings-report-call-2025-7-2025-7?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [ft.com](https://www.ft.com/content/16e82e89-cbc0-45df-a7c0-23e3dabe5b56?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
During the post-earnings call, CEO Elon Musk cautioned that the coming quarters may be “rough,” pointing to expiring U.S. EV tax credits, heightened competition from Chinese automakers, and regulatory ambiguity around full autonomy. While Musk touted early traction for the Austin robotaxi service and initial volume runs of the planned affordable model, investors focused on margin compression and lack of clear timelines, driving the 4.5% post-market sell-off ([businessinsider.com](https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-tsla-stock-q2-earnings-report-call-2025-7-2025-7?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [theguardian.com](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jul/23/tesla-second-quarter-earnings-elon-musk?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Broader Market Context
The Nasdaq Composite closed at 21,020.02 (+0.61%), and the S&P 500 surged 0.78% to a fresh all-time high of 6,358.91, buoyed by a newly formalized U.S.–Japan trade deal that set reciprocal tariffs at 15% and included $550 billion in Japanese investment into U.S. infrastructure and green energy projects ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/22/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-july-23-2025-11777342?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.14% to end at 45,010.29, marking its third session of record gains in the week. This risk-on environment contrasted with Tesla’s muted regular-session performance and sharper after-hours decline, illustrating the divergence between sector leadership and broader market sentiment ([stl.news](https://www.stl.news/us-financial-markets-surge-record-highs-july-23-2025/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-s-p-500-will-continue-to-beat-bonds-and-cash-in-a-muddle-through-second-half-say-these-strategists-d008213b?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Technical Considerations and Trading Levels
From a technical standpoint, Tesla shares were testing resistance near $336 and finding support at the $328 level, a range that has held since mid-July. The stock remains in the lower quartile of its 52-week trading range of $182.00–$488.54, suggesting limited upside in the near term for momentum traders ([cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes//TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/07/22/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Volume yesterday was roughly in line with its 20-day average of 73 million shares, indicating neither a capitulation nor a confident accumulation, as investors awaited clearer visibility on the Q3 outlook.
## Analyst Sentiment and Forward Outlook
Wall Street’s view remains split. Cantor Fitzgerald’s Andres Sheppard reiterated a Buy rating with a $335 price target, citing long-term growth potential in robotaxi services and the upcoming affordable model volume ramp. Conversely, Barclays’ Dan Levy maintained a Hold rating with a $275 target, highlighting near-term margin pressures and demand volatility as key headwinds. The average FactSet price target of $313.66 implies roughly 6% downside from yesterday’s close, reflecting broad analyst caution even as select strategists anticipate a turnaround by late 2026 ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-q2-2025-earnings-call-updates/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/quotes//TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Broader Implications and Key Risks
Going forward, Tesla’s stock trajectory will hinge on several factors beyond just vehicle sales. The company’s ability to sustain margins amid expiring regulatory credits, scale the forthcoming affordable EV, and navigate federal scrutiny of its autonomous operations will be critical. Musk’s political activities and associated consumer backlash add another layer of risk to brand perception and demand. With markets generally buoyed by macro trade optimism, Tesla faces the dual challenge of managing micro-level operational execution and broader investor expectations in a tighter earnings season ([theguardian.com](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jul/23/tesla-second-quarter-earnings-elon-musk?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [ft.com](https://www.ft.com/content/16e82e89-cbc0-45df-a7c0-23e3dabe5b56?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
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