Tesla Stock Daily Drive

July 29, 2025 • Finance

Hosted by Dusty

About This Episode

Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.

Transcript

Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I’m Dusty, and today we’re diving into the financial whirlwind surrounding Tesla, especially their standout performance on July 28, 2025.

Let's kick things off with a glance at that memorable Monday. Tesla shares surged, outpacing major U.S. benchmarks after some exciting supply-chain news. Despite a rocky start to the week, Tesla bounced back, thanks to a new multi-billion-dollar chip supply agreement with Samsung. This sent the stock upwards, giving investors a sigh of relief after some mixed earnings reports recently.

So, what exactly happened on July 28? Tesla closed at $325.59, a nice leap of 3.02% from the previous close. Nearly 110 million shares exchanged hands, reinforcing Tesla’s massive market cap of roughly $1.02 trillion. The day was marked by significant volatility, with prices swinging between $308 and $330. Investors were clearly responsive to the news of Tesla’s strategic partnerships.

Now, the big driver behind Tesla’s leap was that $16.5 billion chip deal with Samsung. This agreement, focused on producing next-gen AI6 semiconductors right in Texas, reassured investors about Tesla’s ability to maintain smooth production lines. Elon Musk himself took to social media, giving us some insights and even hinting that this partnership could grow based on future production.

This is crucial because it not only secures a critical supply chain but also reflects Tesla's deeper engagement in semiconductor design. Analysts are buzzing about how this could lead to higher margins on future vehicle models.

Zooming out briefly, let’s set the broader market scene. July 28 saw U.S. stock benchmarks riding high on optimism over a brand-new U.S.-EU trade framework. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all rose, nearing record highs. Positive sentiment from trade talks, especially potential tariff agreements, helped buoy technology and industrial stocks, Tesla included.

In recent earnings news, Tesla reported their Q2 results a week earlier, showing some revenue misses and a notable sales decline year-over-year. This initially sent shares down, but the company’s ongoing R&D investments in AI and self-driving keep the longer-term growth story alive.

Now, what’s next for Tesla? Analysts are dissecting the medium-term impacts of global EV competition and potential margin pressures from scaling affordable models. Yet, the Samsung chip deal is seen as a pivotal moment for cost control and autonomous vehicle advancements.

As investors, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s ongoing policy meeting and upcoming U.S. payroll data. Everything from Tesla’s production numbers to self-driving tech updates will be critical in sustaining this recent momentum.

Tesla’s 3% gain on July 28 was a testament to market confidence in their new partnership with Samsung, marking a reversal after initial earnings concerns. With robust intraday trading and vibrant investor interest, Tesla’s focus on supply-chain solidity and next-gen tech investments keeps it in the forefront.

Thanks for riding along on this Tesla-driven journey today. Remember, when the dust settles, only the truth remains. See you next time!

Introduction

On Monday, July 28, 2025, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares closed sharply higher, outperforming major U.S. benchmarks amid encouraging supply-chain news. After dipping earlier in the week on mixed earnings results, Tesla rallied on fresh details of a multibillion-dollar chip supply agreement with Samsung Electronics, helping the stock reverse recent weakness and extend year-to-date gains. This report examines Tesla’s daily trading metrics for July 28, key catalysts behind the move, the broader market environment, and pertinent background on Tesla’s recent earnings performance.

---

Summary of July 28 Stock Performance

- Closing price: $325.59
- Change: + $9.53 (+ 3.02%) from the prior close of $316.06
- Previous day’s close (July 25): $316.06
- Volume: 109,818,684 shares traded
- Market capitalization: approximately $1.02 trillion

Tesla ended July 28 at $325.59, up 3.02% on volume of nearly 110 million shares, compared with its 20-day average of roughly 147 million shares traded ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-price/TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [alphaspread.com](https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nasdaq/tsla/why-stock-moved?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

---

Intraday Trading Range and Volatility

On July 28, TSLA shares oscillated between a low of $308.74 and an intraday high of $330.48, a swing of 7.04% from trough to peak. The stock opened at $318.45, rallied steadily through the session, and consolidated near its highs into the close ([stockinvest.us](https://stockinvest.us/stock-price/TSLA?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Such volatility underscores investor responsiveness to newsflow around Tesla’s strategic partnerships and production outlook.

---

Key Drivers of the Price Movement

Tesla’s outperformance on July 28 was primarily driven by the announcement of a $16.5 billion chip-supply agreement with Samsung Electronics, set to underpin production of Tesla’s next-generation AI6 semiconductors at Samsung’s Taylor, Texas, fabrication facility. Investors regarded the deal as a crucial step in shoring up Tesla’s supply chain for key EV and full-self-driving components, reducing exposure to semiconductor shortages and bolstering confidence in the company’s ability to meet ambitious delivery targets ([alphaspread.com](https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nasdaq/tsla/why-stock-moved?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-tesla-stock-was-motoring-higher-monday?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

Elon Musk confirmed the memorandum of understanding in a late-Sunday post on X (formerly Twitter), noting that Samsung would allow Tesla engineers to optimize manufacturing efficiency on site, and hinting that the dollar value of the agreement could rise further based on production volumes ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/why-tesla-stock-was-motoring-higher-monday?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). Market commentary highlighted that the deal not only secures critical chip supply but also symbolizes Tesla’s deepening engagement in semiconductor design, a factor analysts believe could translate into higher margins on future vehicle models.

---

Broader Market Context

July 28 saw U.S. stock benchmarks broadly in positive territory, buoyed by optimism over a new U.S.-EU trade framework and a favorable prelude to this week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5% to 44,901.92, while the S&P 500 gained 0.4% to 6,388.64, and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.2% to 21,108.32, each index marking fresh or near-record highs on the session ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-news-jul-28-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [finviz.com](https://finviz.com/news/117319/stock-market-news-for-jul-28-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) fell 3% to 14.93, underscoring subdued investor fear despite a packed calendar of Big Tech earnings and macroeconomic data releases ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-news-jul-28-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [finviz.com](https://finviz.com/news/117319/stock-market-news-for-jul-28-2025?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

Positive sentiment around trade talks—specifically a framework agreeing to a 15% cap on certain EU import tariffs in exchange for increased EU purchases of U.S. energy goods—provided a tailwind for technology and industrial stocks alike ([investopedia.com](https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-july-28-2025-11779937?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/wall-st-futures-climb-useu-deal-kicks-off-pivotal-week-2025-07-28/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). In this environment, Tesla’s chip supply news dovetailed with a broader rotation into tech names expected to benefit from eased trade tensions and stable monetary policy.

---

Background: Recent Quarterly Earnings

Just five trading days earlier, Tesla reported second-quarter 2025 financial results on July 23, delivering revenue of $22.50 billion versus consensus estimates of $22.64 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.40 against $0.42 forecasts ([moneycheck.com](https://moneycheck.com/tesla-inc-tsla-stock-price-drops-8-as-company-reports-q2-earnings-miss/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)). The revenue miss, combined with a 12% year-over-year sales decline, led to an 8% drop in TSLA shares in pre-market trading on July 24. Despite the miss, management confirmed that volume production of an upcoming lower-cost model had begun in June, targeting a late-2025 full rollout.

Analysts had cautioned that the phase-out of the $7,500 EV tax credit and intensifying competition from legacy OEMs and Chinese entrants were key near-term headwinds. Tesla’s regulatory credit revenues fell sharply year-over-year, contributing to the earnings shortfall. Yet the Q2 release also underscored Tesla’s continued R&D investment in AI, robotics, and self-driving technologies—areas cited by bulls as potential long-term growth drivers ([moneycheck.com](https://moneycheck.com/tesla-inc-tsla-stock-price-drops-8-as-company-reports-q2-earnings-miss/?utm_source=chatgpt.com), [index.businessinsurance.com](https://index.businessinsurance.com/businessinsurance/article/marketminute-2025-7-24-tesla-share-plunge-on-production-delays-and-diminishing-ev-leadership-stock-analysis-nasdaqtsla?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).

---

Outlook and Analyst Commentary

Following Monday’s rally, Street analysts are revisiting Tesla’s medium-term trajectory. Some bear case scenarios point to sustained headwinds from global EV competition and potential margin pressure as affordable model production scales up. Conversely, proponents highlight the Samsung chip deal as a watershed for cost control and next-gen autonomous features, potentially unlocking a higher valuation multiple once consistent chip supply is assured.

With the Federal Reserve’s July policy meeting under way on July 29-30 and fresh U.S. payroll data due Friday, TSLA remains sensitive to both company-specific catalysts and macroeconomic shifts. Investors will be watching closely for further details on the Samsung partnership, as well as updates on Tesla’s production rates and self-driving software advancements, to gauge whether the recent upside can be sustained into August.

---

Conclusion

Tesla’s 3% gain on July 28 reflected the market’s favorable reception to the Samsung Electronics chip deal, reversing earlier softening after Q2 earnings. The stock’s robust intraday range and heavy volume underscore heightened investor focus on supply-chain resilience and next-generation technology investments. Against a backdrop of broadly positive equity markets and easing trade tensions, Tesla has managed to recapture momentum, though its performance in the coming sessions will hinge on the Fed’s policy stance and further execution on production and self-driving roadmaps.

Tesla Stock Daily Drive