
Tesla Stock Daily Drive
Hosted by Dusty
About This Episode
Generated finance podcast with host Dusty based on prompt: Daily stock movements for Tesla. Focus on the stock, but provide any important background information that is necessary.
Transcript
Welcome to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive," your go-to podcast for today’s insight and market dynamics. I’m Dusty, and I’m thrilled to have you with me as we dive into the intriguing world of Tesla's stock performance—always a rollercoaster ride of excitement and surprises.
Let’s kick things off with a quick look at Tesla’s intraday performance on July 29, 2025. Tesla opened at $325.60, a promising start, but by the end of the session, it closed at $321.10—a drop of 1.38% from the previous day. We saw trading volume hit 58.3 million shares, which is quite a downturn from the prior session’s 112.7 million. There’s definitely a lighter turnover, suggesting investors might be holding back a bit after last Thursday’s push.
In the morning session, things looked promising as Tesla built on momentum from a 3% gain the day before. However, by midday, the tides turned. Profit-taking overtook buying interest, nudging the stock down to a session low. Technically speaking, Tesla closed about 1% below its 50-day moving average, but still comfortably above the 200-day average. It signals a touch of near-term bearishness, even though the longer-term trend remains positive.
Now, taking a step back to look at the broader picture, Tesla’s recent Q2 earnings report showed revenue at $22.50 billion. It met forecasts, but it also marked an 11.8% decline from last year. CEO Elon Musk’s cautionary tone, especially with whispers of tougher quarters ahead due to tax credits expiring and mixed reviews on the Model Y variant, has certainly added a layer of temperance to investor sentiment.
On a brighter note, Tesla recently inked a landmark deal with Samsung—a $16.5 billion agreement to secure chips for its EV lineup. While this fueled a 3% jump in shares on Monday, yesterday’s pullback shows that investors are back to focusing on near-term execution risks.
Across the broader market, Tesla wasn't alone in its struggles. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow all experienced declines, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision. Energy stocks were the exception, buoyed by a significant jump in oil prices. It’s always fascinating to see how sector-specific dynamics play out against the broader market backdrop.
In terms of volatility, Tesla shares have certainly had their moment in the spotlight. Over the past year, they’ve swung between $182.00 and $488.54. Currently, the stock is 40% higher than a year ago, but still down about 19% year-to-date. This underscores the dynamic and sometimes unpredictable nature of Tesla's journey in the market.
Looking ahead, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve, with speculation around interest rates potentially changing in September. Meanwhile, Tesla continues to forge its path with exciting initiatives like the Austin-based Robotaxi pilot and the scaling of its Optimus humanoid-robot program. Long-term success may hinge on how well Tesla can pivot from being purely an EV manufacturer to a leader in AI and robotics.
As always, it’s important to keep a grounded perspective when navigating these financial waters. Remember, in the world of investing, patience and informed decision-making are key. And as I always like to say, when the dust settles, only the truth remains.
Thanks for tuning in to "Tesla Stock Daily Drive." I'm Dusty, wishing you a day full of insight and opportunity. Until next time, take care.
## Intraday Performance on July 29, 2025
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) opened Tuesday’s session at $325.60, reached an intraday high of $326.30 and a low of $318.30, before settling at $321.10—a decline of $4.50 or 1.38% from Monday’s close of $325.60. Trading volume totaled 58.3 million shares, significantly below the prior session’s 112.7 million, indicating lighter turnover as the stock reversed early gains ([eoddata.com](https://eoddata.com/stockquote/NASDAQ/TSLA.htm?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/ford-motor-co-stock-underperforms-tuesday-when-compared-to-competitors-288cdd99-fabd40cc47ca?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Morning Session Dynamics and Technical Indicators
After an initial uptick in pre-market and early trading—driven by momentum from the prior day’s 3.02% gain—TSLA shares retreated steadily from mid-morning onward. By midday, profit-taking had overtaken buying interest, pushing the stock to its session low. Technically, the close at $321.10 placed Tesla approximately 1% below its 50-day simple moving average of $324.37, while remaining comfortably above the 200-day average of $313.04, suggesting a shift toward near-term bearishness amid a still-intact longer-term uptrend ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-ev-stock-price-dip-9764e2bc?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([marketbeat.com](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/tesla-nasdaqtsla-shares-down-12-time-to-sell-2025-07-29/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Earnings Backdrop and Investor Sentiment
Tesla’s Q2 2025 results, announced July 23, reported revenue of $22.50 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $0.40—virtually in line with consensus forecasts but representing an 11.8% year-over-year revenue decline. While the earnings release did not materially derail investor confidence, CEO Elon Musk’s caution regarding tougher upcoming quarters—cited due to the expiration of certain federal EV tax credits and underwhelming details on Tesla’s lower-priced Model Y variant—has tempered sentiment. This cautious tone has hindered a full rebound from the 8.2% post-earnings sell-off and set the stage for the 1.4% dip on July 29 ([marketbeat.com](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/tesla-nasdaqtsla-shares-down-12-time-to-sell-2025-07-29/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-ev-stock-price-dip-9764e2bc?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Recent Strategic Announcements and Incentive Changes
On July 28, Tesla struck a landmark $16.5 billion chip-supply agreement with Samsung Electronics, intended to secure advanced semiconductors for its EV lineup and strengthen its production pipeline. That deal propelled shares up 3.02% on Monday, but Tuesday’s pullback suggests investors digested the news and shifted focus back to near-term execution risks. Compounding headwinds is the phasing out of U.S. federal EV tax incentives for Tesla’s vehicles—once a tailwind for demand—which Musk has flagged as a constraint on volume growth in coming quarters ([alphaspread.com](https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nasdaq/tsla/why-stock-moved?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-ev-stock-price-dip-9764e2bc?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Broader Market Context
Tesla’s decline occurred in tandem with a risk-off tone across U.S. equities as markets awaited the Federal Reserve’s July 30 policy decision. The S&P 500 fell 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.4% on July 29, while the Dow retreated 0.5%, reflecting caution over interest-rate outlooks and mixed earnings results from major corporates. Energy stocks outperformed as oil prices jumped over 4%, underscoring sector-specific divergences within the broader market pullback ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-fed-meeting-novo-nordisk-nvo-stock/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([marketwatch.com](https://www.marketwatch.com/data-news/ford-motor-co-stock-underperforms-tuesday-when-compared-to-competitors-288cdd99-fabd40cc47ca?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Longer-Term Performance and Volatility
Over the past 52 weeks, TSLA has traded between a low of $182.00 and a high of $488.54, illustrating pronounced volatility amid shifting EV market dynamics. Shares remain approximately 40% higher than their level one year ago, yet are down about 19% year-to-date, as the rally fueled by AI initiatives and production growth early this year gave way to profit-taking and macroeconomic headwinds ([barrons.com](https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-ev-stock-price-dip-9764e2bc?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([eoddata.com](https://eoddata.com/stockquote/NASDAQ/TSLA.htm?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
## Outlook and Upcoming Catalysts
All eyes now turn to the Fed’s July 30 rate announcement—widely expected to maintain borrowing costs but with growing odds for a September cut—and Tesla’s ability to sustain deliveries amid new headwinds. Longer-term, progress on the Austin-based Robotaxi pilot, launched June 22, and scaling of the Optimus humanoid-robot program by 2026 remain critical to the company’s narrative shift from pure EV manufacturer to broader AI and robotics leader ([investors.com](https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-fed-meeting-novo-nordisk-nvo-stock/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) ([teslarati.com](https://www.teslarati.com/tsla-one-day-7th-anniversary-wall-street/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)).
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